Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 05 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-06,12073,Daily Model Output (20170605)
2017-06-07,12895
2017-06-08,13555
2017-06-09,14277
2017-06-10,15161
2017-06-11,16288
2017-06-12,16550
2017-06-13,15830
2017-06-14,14155
2017-06-15,12084
2017-06-16,12917,ESP Model Output (20170604)
2017-06-17,12316
2017-06-18,11672
2017-06-19,11472
2017-06-20,11376
2017-06-21,10972
2017-06-22,10840
2017-06-23,10390
2017-06-24,10536
2017-06-25,9827
2017-06-26,9805
2017-06-27,9639
2017-06-28,9597
2017-06-29,9487
2017-06-30,9191
2017-07-01,8890
2017-07-02,8717
2017-07-03,8570
2017-07-04,8143
2017-07-05,7924
2017-07-06,7530
2017-07-07,7232
2017-07-08,6856
2017-07-09,6671
2017-07-10,6381
2017-07-11,6031
2017-07-12,5790
2017-07-13,5575
2017-07-14,5296
2017-07-15,5227
2017-07-16,5075
2017-07-17,4800
2017-07-18,4551
2017-07-19,4350
2017-07-20,4217
2017-07-21,4089
2017-07-22,3909
2017-07-23,3653
2017-07-24,3497
2017-07-25,3478
2017-07-26,3444
2017-07-27,3276
2017-07-28,3300
2017-07-29,3098
2017-07-30,3003
2017-07-31,2924


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.