Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 06 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-07,13299,Daily Model Output (20170606)
2017-06-08,14099
2017-06-09,14950
2017-06-10,15706
2017-06-11,16302
2017-06-12,16604
2017-06-13,16315
2017-06-14,14952
2017-06-15,13019
2017-06-16,11282
2017-06-17,10930,ESP Model Output (20170605)
2017-06-18,10595
2017-06-19,10392
2017-06-20,10263
2017-06-21,10040
2017-06-22,9795
2017-06-23,9719
2017-06-24,9613
2017-06-25,9261
2017-06-26,9122
2017-06-27,8972
2017-06-28,8942
2017-06-29,8846
2017-06-30,8606
2017-07-01,8270
2017-07-02,8106
2017-07-03,7722
2017-07-04,7603
2017-07-05,7339
2017-07-06,6929
2017-07-07,6648
2017-07-08,6410
2017-07-09,6163
2017-07-10,5936
2017-07-11,5729
2017-07-12,5460
2017-07-13,5264
2017-07-14,5059
2017-07-15,4933
2017-07-16,4791
2017-07-17,4565
2017-07-18,4281
2017-07-19,4109
2017-07-20,4009
2017-07-21,3882
2017-07-22,3738
2017-07-23,3505
2017-07-24,3345
2017-07-25,3325
2017-07-26,3284
2017-07-27,3159
2017-07-28,3127
2017-07-29,2952
2017-07-30,2860
2017-07-31,2762


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.