Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 07 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-08,14499,Daily Model Output (20170607)
2017-06-09,15191
2017-06-10,15696
2017-06-11,16177
2017-06-12,16993
2017-06-13,17288
2017-06-14,16260
2017-06-15,14253
2017-06-16,11675
2017-06-17,9676
2017-06-18,10928,ESP Model Output (20170606)
2017-06-19,10339
2017-06-20,9947
2017-06-21,9885
2017-06-22,9706
2017-06-23,9620
2017-06-24,9500
2017-06-25,9240
2017-06-26,8955
2017-06-27,8907
2017-06-28,8851
2017-06-29,8767
2017-06-30,8442
2017-07-01,8124
2017-07-02,7989
2017-07-03,7737
2017-07-04,7555
2017-07-05,7194
2017-07-06,6875
2017-07-07,6478
2017-07-08,6213
2017-07-09,6026
2017-07-10,5865
2017-07-11,5553
2017-07-12,5286
2017-07-13,5188
2017-07-14,5039
2017-07-15,4786
2017-07-16,4670
2017-07-17,4473
2017-07-18,4280
2017-07-19,4007
2017-07-20,4023
2017-07-21,3885
2017-07-22,3767
2017-07-23,3523
2017-07-24,3260
2017-07-25,3289
2017-07-26,3255
2017-07-27,3127
2017-07-28,3080
2017-07-29,2938
2017-07-30,2833
2017-07-31,2736


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.