Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 08 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-09,15856,Daily Model Output (20170608)
2017-06-10,16854
2017-06-11,17456
2017-06-12,18033
2017-06-13,18385
2017-06-14,17860
2017-06-15,16937
2017-06-16,15512
2017-06-17,13314
2017-06-18,11276
2017-06-19,9535,ESP Model Output (20170607)
2017-06-20,9825
2017-06-21,10018
2017-06-22,9969
2017-06-23,9702
2017-06-24,9374
2017-06-25,9099
2017-06-26,8823
2017-06-27,8871
2017-06-28,8831
2017-06-29,8651
2017-06-30,8331
2017-07-01,8027
2017-07-02,7914
2017-07-03,7769
2017-07-04,7509
2017-07-05,7148
2017-07-06,6827
2017-07-07,6474
2017-07-08,6121
2017-07-09,5864
2017-07-10,5700
2017-07-11,5460
2017-07-12,5221
2017-07-13,5033
2017-07-14,4984
2017-07-15,4748
2017-07-16,4580
2017-07-17,4347
2017-07-18,4190
2017-07-19,4005
2017-07-20,3992
2017-07-21,3863
2017-07-22,3674
2017-07-23,3492
2017-07-24,3247
2017-07-25,3206
2017-07-26,3198
2017-07-27,3097
2017-07-28,3003
2017-07-29,2915
2017-07-30,2766
2017-07-31,2687


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.