Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 09 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-10,16780,Daily Model Output (20170609)
2017-06-11,17588
2017-06-12,17924
2017-06-13,17922
2017-06-14,17401
2017-06-15,16346
2017-06-16,15052
2017-06-17,13584
2017-06-18,12190
2017-06-19,11119
2017-06-20,10555,ESP Model Output (20170608)
2017-06-21,10827
2017-06-22,11083
2017-06-23,10926
2017-06-24,10562
2017-06-25,10038
2017-06-26,9688
2017-06-27,9600
2017-06-28,9580
2017-06-29,9324
2017-06-30,9001
2017-07-01,8661
2017-07-02,8527
2017-07-03,8261
2017-07-04,7964
2017-07-05,7620
2017-07-06,7293
2017-07-07,6835
2017-07-08,6455
2017-07-09,6135
2017-07-10,5973
2017-07-11,5716
2017-07-12,5464
2017-07-13,5292
2017-07-14,5202
2017-07-15,4917
2017-07-16,4738
2017-07-17,4528
2017-07-18,4350
2017-07-19,4236
2017-07-20,4176
2017-07-21,3997
2017-07-22,3805
2017-07-23,3602
2017-07-24,3439
2017-07-25,3260
2017-07-26,3319
2017-07-27,3147
2017-07-28,3081
2017-07-29,2954
2017-07-30,2872
2017-07-31,2822


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.