Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 10 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-11,17423,Daily Model Output (20170610)
2017-06-12,17777
2017-06-13,17572
2017-06-14,16894
2017-06-15,15726
2017-06-16,14384
2017-06-17,13188
2017-06-18,12078
2017-06-19,11550
2017-06-20,11848
2017-06-21,10536,ESP Model Output (20170609)
2017-06-22,10062
2017-06-23,10249
2017-06-24,10185
2017-06-25,9804
2017-06-26,9869
2017-06-27,10004
2017-06-28,9981
2017-06-29,9820
2017-06-30,9473
2017-07-01,9321
2017-07-02,9174
2017-07-03,8781
2017-07-04,8628
2017-07-05,8313
2017-07-06,7881
2017-07-07,7557
2017-07-08,7171
2017-07-09,6790
2017-07-10,6493
2017-07-11,6259
2017-07-12,5982
2017-07-13,5795
2017-07-14,5624
2017-07-15,5265
2017-07-16,5127
2017-07-17,4957
2017-07-18,4679
2017-07-19,4623
2017-07-20,4549
2017-07-21,4344
2017-07-22,4162
2017-07-23,4008
2017-07-24,3734
2017-07-25,3582
2017-07-26,3564
2017-07-27,3489
2017-07-28,3417
2017-07-29,3189
2017-07-30,3081
2017-07-31,3084


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.