Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 11 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-12,17871,Daily Model Output (20170611)
2017-06-13,16928
2017-06-14,15632
2017-06-15,13929
2017-06-16,12545
2017-06-17,11291
2017-06-18,10177
2017-06-19,9836
2017-06-20,10289
2017-06-21,11309
2017-06-22,13609,ESP Model Output (20170610)
2017-06-23,13640
2017-06-24,13033
2017-06-25,12017
2017-06-26,11231
2017-06-27,10804
2017-06-28,10419
2017-06-29,9960
2017-06-30,9583
2017-07-01,9350
2017-07-02,9019
2017-07-03,8757
2017-07-04,8444
2017-07-05,8064
2017-07-06,7618
2017-07-07,7247
2017-07-08,6814
2017-07-09,6405
2017-07-10,6280
2017-07-11,5960
2017-07-12,5635
2017-07-13,5541
2017-07-14,5375
2017-07-15,4979
2017-07-16,4901
2017-07-17,4707
2017-07-18,4466
2017-07-19,4350
2017-07-20,4295
2017-07-21,4059
2017-07-22,3929
2017-07-23,3740
2017-07-24,3491
2017-07-25,3328
2017-07-26,3362
2017-07-27,3270
2017-07-28,3204
2017-07-29,3063
2017-07-30,2936
2017-07-31,2885


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.