Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 13 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-14,14756,Daily Model Output (20170613)
2017-06-15,13795
2017-06-16,12836
2017-06-17,11986
2017-06-18,10839
2017-06-19,10117
2017-06-20,10065
2017-06-21,10102
2017-06-22,10440
2017-06-23,10995
2017-06-24,11599,ESP Model Output (20170612)
2017-06-25,11239
2017-06-26,10832
2017-06-27,10366
2017-06-28,10123
2017-06-29,9790
2017-06-30,9357
2017-07-01,8995
2017-07-02,8699
2017-07-03,8510
2017-07-04,8225
2017-07-05,7850
2017-07-06,7510
2017-07-07,7071
2017-07-08,6723
2017-07-09,6389
2017-07-10,5978
2017-07-11,5942
2017-07-12,5703
2017-07-13,5539
2017-07-14,5269
2017-07-15,4968
2017-07-16,4851
2017-07-17,4620
2017-07-18,4472
2017-07-19,4309
2017-07-20,4208
2017-07-21,4046
2017-07-22,3904
2017-07-23,3693
2017-07-24,3443
2017-07-25,3378
2017-07-26,3319
2017-07-27,3301
2017-07-28,3242
2017-07-29,3050
2017-07-30,2936
2017-07-31,2852


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.