Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 14 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-15,13752,Daily Model Output (20170614)
2017-06-16,12778
2017-06-17,11869
2017-06-18,10866
2017-06-19,10587
2017-06-20,10850
2017-06-21,11087
2017-06-22,11065
2017-06-23,11169
2017-06-24,11622
2017-06-25,12100,ESP Model Output (20170613)
2017-06-26,12066
2017-06-27,11806
2017-06-28,11133
2017-06-29,10590
2017-06-30,9986
2017-07-01,9485
2017-07-02,9130
2017-07-03,8846
2017-07-04,8576
2017-07-05,8161
2017-07-06,7772
2017-07-07,7337
2017-07-08,6934
2017-07-09,6605
2017-07-10,6180
2017-07-11,6099
2017-07-12,5829
2017-07-13,5612
2017-07-14,5321
2017-07-15,5030
2017-07-16,4884
2017-07-17,4718
2017-07-18,4564
2017-07-19,4356
2017-07-20,4251
2017-07-21,4061
2017-07-22,3867
2017-07-23,3740
2017-07-24,3508
2017-07-25,3406
2017-07-26,3423
2017-07-27,3343
2017-07-28,3208
2017-07-29,3063
2017-07-30,2941
2017-07-31,2851


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.