Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 19 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-20,13628,Daily Model Output (20170619)
2017-06-21,15240
2017-06-22,13344
2017-06-23,12945
2017-06-24,13132
2017-06-25,12752
2017-06-26,11573
2017-06-27,10243
2017-06-28,9347
2017-06-29,8948
2017-06-30,8636,ESP Model Output (20170618)
2017-07-01,8791
2017-07-02,8954
2017-07-03,8934
2017-07-04,8773
2017-07-05,8384
2017-07-06,7953
2017-07-07,7568
2017-07-08,7259
2017-07-09,6939
2017-07-10,6598
2017-07-11,6271
2017-07-12,6020
2017-07-13,5789
2017-07-14,5405
2017-07-15,5101
2017-07-16,4979
2017-07-17,4846
2017-07-18,4779
2017-07-19,4612
2017-07-20,4382
2017-07-21,4095
2017-07-22,3886
2017-07-23,3740
2017-07-24,3518
2017-07-25,3492
2017-07-26,3425
2017-07-27,3336
2017-07-28,3192
2017-07-29,3123
2017-07-30,3083
2017-07-31,2880


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.