Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 21 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-22,15010,Daily Model Output (20170621)
2017-06-23,14664
2017-06-24,14600
2017-06-25,14662
2017-06-26,13656
2017-06-27,12234
2017-06-28,11004
2017-06-29,10267
2017-06-30,10036
2017-07-01,9991
2017-07-02,9282,ESP Model Output (20170620)
2017-07-03,8834
2017-07-04,8469
2017-07-05,8077
2017-07-06,7580
2017-07-07,7268
2017-07-08,6997
2017-07-09,6579
2017-07-10,6230
2017-07-11,5978
2017-07-12,5700
2017-07-13,5428
2017-07-14,5126
2017-07-15,4836
2017-07-16,4726
2017-07-17,4586
2017-07-18,4453
2017-07-19,4233
2017-07-20,4035
2017-07-21,3883
2017-07-22,3625
2017-07-23,3500
2017-07-24,3339
2017-07-25,3230
2017-07-26,3125
2017-07-27,3017
2017-07-28,2894
2017-07-29,2890
2017-07-30,2839
2017-07-31,2703


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.