Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 28 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-29,10864,Daily Model Output (20170628)
2017-06-30,10586
2017-07-01,10486
2017-07-02,9976
2017-07-03,9444
2017-07-04,8653
2017-07-05,8100
2017-07-06,7888
2017-07-07,7674
2017-07-08,7473
2017-07-09,7409,ESP Model Output (20170627)
2017-07-10,7126
2017-07-11,6843
2017-07-12,6458
2017-07-13,6141
2017-07-14,5732
2017-07-15,5519
2017-07-16,5237
2017-07-17,5046
2017-07-18,4787
2017-07-19,4501
2017-07-20,4197
2017-07-21,4035
2017-07-22,3804
2017-07-23,3592
2017-07-24,3415
2017-07-25,3293
2017-07-26,3157
2017-07-27,3082
2017-07-28,2974
2017-07-29,2956
2017-07-30,2778
2017-07-31,2730


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.