McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 19 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-04-20,2860,Daily Model Output
2017-04-21,2735
2017-04-22,2398
2017-04-23,1877
2017-04-24,1747
2017-04-25,2308
2017-04-26,2444
2017-04-27,2153
2017-04-28,1891
2017-04-29,1634
2017-04-30,2730,ESP Model Output
2017-05-01,2588
2017-05-02,2531
2017-05-03,2399
2017-05-04,2557
2017-05-05,2448
2017-05-06,2497
2017-05-07,2332
2017-05-08,2369
2017-05-09,2439
2017-05-10,2307
2017-05-11,2213
2017-05-12,2188
2017-05-13,2200
2017-05-14,1991
2017-05-15,2035
2017-05-16,2062
2017-05-17,2449
2017-05-18,2383
2017-05-19,2431
2017-05-20,2432
2017-05-21,2363
2017-05-22,2270
2017-05-23,2157
2017-05-24,2083
2017-05-25,2098
2017-05-26,2113
2017-05-27,2125
2017-05-28,2101
2017-05-29,2152
2017-05-30,2112
2017-05-31,2174
2017-06-01,2112
2017-06-02,1935
2017-06-03,2010
2017-06-04,2008
2017-06-05,1845
2017-06-06,1843
2017-06-07,1766
2017-06-08,1620
2017-06-09,1599
2017-06-10,1475
2017-06-11,1573
2017-06-12,1645
2017-06-13,1571
2017-06-14,1563
2017-06-15,1473
2017-06-16,1395
2017-06-17,1348
2017-06-18,1307
2017-06-19,1238
2017-06-20,1105
2017-06-21,1082
2017-06-22,1022
2017-06-23,979
2017-06-24,879
2017-06-25,787
2017-06-26,741
2017-06-27,713
2017-06-28,673
2017-06-29,605
2017-06-30,557
2017-07-01,506
2017-07-02,474
2017-07-03,445
2017-07-04,417
2017-07-05,395
2017-07-06,374
2017-07-07,360
2017-07-08,342
2017-07-09,326
2017-07-10,310
2017-07-11,302
2017-07-12,287
2017-07-13,281
2017-07-14,268
2017-07-15,250
2017-07-16,244
2017-07-17,234
2017-07-18,220
2017-07-19,210
2017-07-20,201
2017-07-21,200
2017-07-22,193
2017-07-23,189
2017-07-24,190
2017-07-25,197
2017-07-26,200
2017-07-27,204
2017-07-28,195
2017-07-29,216
2017-07-30,213
2017-07-31,212


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.