McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 20 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-04-21,2874,Daily Model Output
2017-04-22,2756
2017-04-23,2312
2017-04-24,2270
2017-04-25,2642
2017-04-26,2744
2017-04-27,2435
2017-04-28,2135
2017-04-29,1783
2017-04-30,1509
2017-05-01,2095,ESP Model Output
2017-05-02,2305
2017-05-03,2265
2017-05-04,2390
2017-05-05,2297
2017-05-06,2471
2017-05-07,2394
2017-05-08,2359
2017-05-09,2332
2017-05-10,2228
2017-05-11,2191
2017-05-12,2188
2017-05-13,2218
2017-05-14,1996
2017-05-15,2030
2017-05-16,2071
2017-05-17,2513
2017-05-18,2447
2017-05-19,2444
2017-05-20,2497
2017-05-21,2385
2017-05-22,2321
2017-05-23,2155
2017-05-24,2133
2017-05-25,2145
2017-05-26,2134
2017-05-27,2199
2017-05-28,2148
2017-05-29,2204
2017-05-30,2201
2017-05-31,2274
2017-06-01,2155
2017-06-02,1974
2017-06-03,2085
2017-06-04,2018
2017-06-05,1891
2017-06-06,1899
2017-06-07,1810
2017-06-08,1691
2017-06-09,1682
2017-06-10,1530
2017-06-11,1602
2017-06-12,1707
2017-06-13,1641
2017-06-14,1621
2017-06-15,1509
2017-06-16,1474
2017-06-17,1358
2017-06-18,1345
2017-06-19,1297
2017-06-20,1200
2017-06-21,1142
2017-06-22,1104
2017-06-23,1063
2017-06-24,962
2017-06-25,864
2017-06-26,788
2017-06-27,771
2017-06-28,718
2017-06-29,654
2017-06-30,604
2017-07-01,531
2017-07-02,497
2017-07-03,468
2017-07-04,437
2017-07-05,413
2017-07-06,391
2017-07-07,375
2017-07-08,356
2017-07-09,345
2017-07-10,328
2017-07-11,312
2017-07-12,297
2017-07-13,292
2017-07-14,275
2017-07-15,258
2017-07-16,250
2017-07-17,239
2017-07-18,228
2017-07-19,216
2017-07-20,208
2017-07-21,204
2017-07-22,198
2017-07-23,198
2017-07-24,193
2017-07-25,197
2017-07-26,202
2017-07-27,204
2017-07-28,197
2017-07-29,221
2017-07-30,214
2017-07-31,211


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.