McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 21 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-04-22,2456,Daily Model Output
2017-04-23,2119
2017-04-24,2074
2017-04-25,2481
2017-04-26,2760
2017-04-27,2970
2017-04-28,2330
2017-04-29,1785
2017-04-30,1524
2017-05-01,1358
2017-05-02,2147,ESP Model Output
2017-05-03,2190
2017-05-04,2349
2017-05-05,2270
2017-05-06,2414
2017-05-07,2287
2017-05-08,2292
2017-05-09,2280
2017-05-10,2091
2017-05-11,2135
2017-05-12,2183
2017-05-13,2206
2017-05-14,1972
2017-05-15,2011
2017-05-16,2063
2017-05-17,2426
2017-05-18,2290
2017-05-19,2418
2017-05-20,2471
2017-05-21,2402
2017-05-22,2262
2017-05-23,2139
2017-05-24,2076
2017-05-25,2108
2017-05-26,2128
2017-05-27,2132
2017-05-28,2102
2017-05-29,2152
2017-05-30,2196
2017-05-31,2268
2017-06-01,2055
2017-06-02,1962
2017-06-03,2037
2017-06-04,2005
2017-06-05,1884
2017-06-06,1868
2017-06-07,1788
2017-06-08,1675
2017-06-09,1666
2017-06-10,1503
2017-06-11,1584
2017-06-12,1664
2017-06-13,1634
2017-06-14,1554
2017-06-15,1462
2017-06-16,1419
2017-06-17,1340
2017-06-18,1293
2017-06-19,1243
2017-06-20,1197
2017-06-21,1101
2017-06-22,1060
2017-06-23,1037
2017-06-24,931
2017-06-25,815
2017-06-26,773
2017-06-27,759
2017-06-28,691
2017-06-29,631
2017-06-30,581
2017-07-01,532
2017-07-02,494
2017-07-03,458
2017-07-04,433
2017-07-05,410
2017-07-06,388
2017-07-07,370
2017-07-08,351
2017-07-09,336
2017-07-10,320
2017-07-11,305
2017-07-12,290
2017-07-13,287
2017-07-14,266
2017-07-15,252
2017-07-16,245
2017-07-17,234
2017-07-18,221
2017-07-19,212
2017-07-20,204
2017-07-21,199
2017-07-22,197
2017-07-23,198
2017-07-24,191
2017-07-25,196
2017-07-26,200
2017-07-27,203
2017-07-28,191
2017-07-29,218
2017-07-30,209
2017-07-31,205


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.