McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 24 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-04-25,2504,Daily Model Output
2017-04-26,2756
2017-04-27,2429
2017-04-28,2052
2017-04-29,1912
2017-04-30,1654
2017-05-01,1565
2017-05-02,1685
2017-05-03,1526
2017-05-04,1462
2017-05-05,2023,ESP Model Output
2017-05-06,2066
2017-05-07,2118
2017-05-08,2221
2017-05-09,2254
2017-05-10,2178
2017-05-11,2193
2017-05-12,2159
2017-05-13,2197
2017-05-14,2012
2017-05-15,2150
2017-05-16,2206
2017-05-17,2437
2017-05-18,2414
2017-05-19,2591
2017-05-20,2668
2017-05-21,2500
2017-05-22,2538
2017-05-23,2333
2017-05-24,2287
2017-05-25,2277
2017-05-26,2214
2017-05-27,2207
2017-05-28,2190
2017-05-29,2325
2017-05-30,2385
2017-05-31,2469
2017-06-01,2233
2017-06-02,2117
2017-06-03,2182
2017-06-04,2191
2017-06-05,2057
2017-06-06,2093
2017-06-07,2013
2017-06-08,1853
2017-06-09,1877
2017-06-10,1685
2017-06-11,1657
2017-06-12,1830
2017-06-13,1814
2017-06-14,1653
2017-06-15,1597
2017-06-16,1551
2017-06-17,1512
2017-06-18,1400
2017-06-19,1376
2017-06-20,1283
2017-06-21,1321
2017-06-22,1229
2017-06-23,1138
2017-06-24,1054
2017-06-25,976
2017-06-26,918
2017-06-27,910
2017-06-28,795
2017-06-29,708
2017-06-30,667
2017-07-01,614
2017-07-02,564
2017-07-03,521
2017-07-04,489
2017-07-05,461
2017-07-06,436
2017-07-07,413
2017-07-08,391
2017-07-09,373
2017-07-10,354
2017-07-11,336
2017-07-12,324
2017-07-13,314
2017-07-14,298
2017-07-15,275
2017-07-16,271
2017-07-17,259
2017-07-18,247
2017-07-19,231
2017-07-20,220
2017-07-21,222
2017-07-22,216
2017-07-23,219
2017-07-24,202
2017-07-25,217
2017-07-26,211
2017-07-27,226
2017-07-28,197
2017-07-29,229
2017-07-30,223
2017-07-31,213


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.