McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 25 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-04-26,2130,Daily Model Output
2017-04-27,1980
2017-04-28,1912
2017-04-29,1837
2017-04-30,1558
2017-05-01,1426
2017-05-02,1538
2017-05-03,1700
2017-05-04,1544
2017-05-05,1342
2017-05-06,2045,ESP Model Output
2017-05-07,2194
2017-05-08,2198
2017-05-09,2361
2017-05-10,2214
2017-05-11,2293
2017-05-12,2193
2017-05-13,2325
2017-05-14,2151
2017-05-15,2218
2017-05-16,2397
2017-05-17,2524
2017-05-18,2536
2017-05-19,2692
2017-05-20,2689
2017-05-21,2634
2017-05-22,2679
2017-05-23,2446
2017-05-24,2360
2017-05-25,2427
2017-05-26,2281
2017-05-27,2336
2017-05-28,2299
2017-05-29,2424
2017-05-30,2578
2017-05-31,2569
2017-06-01,2344
2017-06-02,2184
2017-06-03,2260
2017-06-04,2285
2017-06-05,2202
2017-06-06,2220
2017-06-07,2072
2017-06-08,1995
2017-06-09,1959
2017-06-10,1772
2017-06-11,1748
2017-06-12,1919
2017-06-13,1899
2017-06-14,1721
2017-06-15,1682
2017-06-16,1592
2017-06-17,1563
2017-06-18,1446
2017-06-19,1394
2017-06-20,1342
2017-06-21,1428
2017-06-22,1312
2017-06-23,1202
2017-06-24,1121
2017-06-25,1071
2017-06-26,977
2017-06-27,1005
2017-06-28,874
2017-06-29,767
2017-06-30,721
2017-07-01,655
2017-07-02,598
2017-07-03,557
2017-07-04,524
2017-07-05,494
2017-07-06,467
2017-07-07,442
2017-07-08,418
2017-07-09,398
2017-07-10,376
2017-07-11,358
2017-07-12,340
2017-07-13,330
2017-07-14,307
2017-07-15,292
2017-07-16,284
2017-07-17,271
2017-07-18,254
2017-07-19,242
2017-07-20,232
2017-07-21,231
2017-07-22,221
2017-07-23,225
2017-07-24,210
2017-07-25,224
2017-07-26,215
2017-07-27,236
2017-07-28,200
2017-07-29,233
2017-07-30,227
2017-07-31,216


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.