McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 26 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-04-27,1733,Daily Model Output
2017-04-28,1610
2017-04-29,1531
2017-04-30,1391
2017-05-01,1294
2017-05-02,1292
2017-05-03,1319
2017-05-04,1202
2017-05-05,1099
2017-05-06,1134
2017-05-07,1890,ESP Model Output
2017-05-08,2000
2017-05-09,2224
2017-05-10,2204
2017-05-11,2199
2017-05-12,2129
2017-05-13,2280
2017-05-14,2108
2017-05-15,2201
2017-05-16,2403
2017-05-17,2563
2017-05-18,2535
2017-05-19,2596
2017-05-20,2512
2017-05-21,2630
2017-05-22,2748
2017-05-23,2499
2017-05-24,2397
2017-05-25,2484
2017-05-26,2320
2017-05-27,2320
2017-05-28,2328
2017-05-29,2499
2017-05-30,2609
2017-05-31,2598
2017-06-01,2397
2017-06-02,2230
2017-06-03,2338
2017-06-04,2357
2017-06-05,2265
2017-06-06,2296
2017-06-07,2174
2017-06-08,2047
2017-06-09,1989
2017-06-10,1806
2017-06-11,1822
2017-06-12,1964
2017-06-13,1993
2017-06-14,1785
2017-06-15,1691
2017-06-16,1655
2017-06-17,1636
2017-06-18,1462
2017-06-19,1418
2017-06-20,1365
2017-06-21,1437
2017-06-22,1351
2017-06-23,1252
2017-06-24,1181
2017-06-25,1108
2017-06-26,1019
2017-06-27,1046
2017-06-28,926
2017-06-29,813
2017-06-30,766
2017-07-01,682
2017-07-02,632
2017-07-03,580
2017-07-04,543
2017-07-05,510
2017-07-06,471
2017-07-07,454
2017-07-08,429
2017-07-09,411
2017-07-10,389
2017-07-11,374
2017-07-12,355
2017-07-13,337
2017-07-14,320
2017-07-15,302
2017-07-16,290
2017-07-17,276
2017-07-18,263
2017-07-19,249
2017-07-20,239
2017-07-21,234
2017-07-22,225
2017-07-23,235
2017-07-24,215
2017-07-25,228
2017-07-26,219
2017-07-27,238
2017-07-28,203
2017-07-29,237
2017-07-30,233
2017-07-31,219


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.