McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 28 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-04-29,1418,Daily Model Output
2017-04-30,1356
2017-05-01,1291
2017-05-02,1351
2017-05-03,1498
2017-05-04,1556
2017-05-05,1725
2017-05-06,2105
2017-05-07,2414
2017-05-08,2440
2017-05-09,2222,ESP Model Output
2017-05-10,2112
2017-05-11,2184
2017-05-12,2171
2017-05-13,2092
2017-05-14,2045
2017-05-15,2014
2017-05-16,2226
2017-05-17,2423
2017-05-18,2439
2017-05-19,2501
2017-05-20,2412
2017-05-21,2496
2017-05-22,2538
2017-05-23,2335
2017-05-24,2253
2017-05-25,2226
2017-05-26,2189
2017-05-27,2178
2017-05-28,2139
2017-05-29,2346
2017-05-30,2394
2017-05-31,2340
2017-06-01,2279
2017-06-02,2131
2017-06-03,2218
2017-06-04,2173
2017-06-05,2117
2017-06-06,2070
2017-06-07,2013
2017-06-08,1907
2017-06-09,1865
2017-06-10,1745
2017-06-11,1735
2017-06-12,1816
2017-06-13,1819
2017-06-14,1593
2017-06-15,1568
2017-06-16,1498
2017-06-17,1451
2017-06-18,1332
2017-06-19,1348
2017-06-20,1214
2017-06-21,1302
2017-06-22,1217
2017-06-23,1127
2017-06-24,1077
2017-06-25,998
2017-06-26,922
2017-06-27,899
2017-06-28,821
2017-06-29,729
2017-06-30,686
2017-07-01,621
2017-07-02,563
2017-07-03,527
2017-07-04,490
2017-07-05,460
2017-07-06,433
2017-07-07,409
2017-07-08,387
2017-07-09,381
2017-07-10,362
2017-07-11,351
2017-07-12,334
2017-07-13,319
2017-07-14,298
2017-07-15,280
2017-07-16,273
2017-07-17,260
2017-07-18,244
2017-07-19,231
2017-07-20,221
2017-07-21,223
2017-07-22,213
2017-07-23,217
2017-07-24,206
2017-07-25,217
2017-07-26,209
2017-07-27,224
2017-07-28,198
2017-07-29,231
2017-07-30,226
2017-07-31,213


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.