McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 29 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-04-30,1207,Daily Model Output
2017-05-01,1225
2017-05-02,1372
2017-05-03,1529
2017-05-04,1510
2017-05-05,1521
2017-05-06,1835
2017-05-07,2320
2017-05-08,2550
2017-05-09,2536
2017-05-10,2382,ESP Model Output
2017-05-11,2403
2017-05-12,2317
2017-05-13,2232
2017-05-14,2152
2017-05-15,2080
2017-05-16,2307
2017-05-17,2432
2017-05-18,2430
2017-05-19,2538
2017-05-20,2483
2017-05-21,2528
2017-05-22,2563
2017-05-23,2351
2017-05-24,2255
2017-05-25,2191
2017-05-26,2159
2017-05-27,2189
2017-05-28,2124
2017-05-29,2334
2017-05-30,2339
2017-05-31,2283
2017-06-01,2212
2017-06-02,2065
2017-06-03,2121
2017-06-04,2140
2017-06-05,2085
2017-06-06,2019
2017-06-07,1964
2017-06-08,1879
2017-06-09,1846
2017-06-10,1737
2017-06-11,1664
2017-06-12,1750
2017-06-13,1708
2017-06-14,1539
2017-06-15,1554
2017-06-16,1483
2017-06-17,1409
2017-06-18,1263
2017-06-19,1289
2017-06-20,1171
2017-06-21,1248
2017-06-22,1182
2017-06-23,1069
2017-06-24,1023
2017-06-25,937
2017-06-26,837
2017-06-27,860
2017-06-28,778
2017-06-29,712
2017-06-30,656
2017-07-01,596
2017-07-02,555
2017-07-03,521
2017-07-04,477
2017-07-05,442
2017-07-06,414
2017-07-07,408
2017-07-08,387
2017-07-09,373
2017-07-10,354
2017-07-11,349
2017-07-12,331
2017-07-13,315
2017-07-14,290
2017-07-15,272
2017-07-16,272
2017-07-17,259
2017-07-18,240
2017-07-19,227
2017-07-20,218
2017-07-21,220
2017-07-22,211
2017-07-23,214
2017-07-24,203
2017-07-25,210
2017-07-26,203
2017-07-27,218
2017-07-28,197
2017-07-29,227
2017-07-30,223
2017-07-31,210


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.