McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 30 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-01,1124,Daily Model Output
2017-05-02,1450
2017-05-03,1623
2017-05-04,1589
2017-05-05,1608
2017-05-06,1865
2017-05-07,2351
2017-05-08,2609
2017-05-09,2474
2017-05-10,2169
2017-05-11,2557,ESP Model Output
2017-05-12,2375
2017-05-13,2286
2017-05-14,2111
2017-05-15,2176
2017-05-16,2364
2017-05-17,2454
2017-05-18,2477
2017-05-19,2610
2017-05-20,2539
2017-05-21,2493
2017-05-22,2572
2017-05-23,2363
2017-05-24,2266
2017-05-25,2211
2017-05-26,2178
2017-05-27,2195
2017-05-28,2135
2017-05-29,2327
2017-05-30,2344
2017-05-31,2250
2017-06-01,2146
2017-06-02,2063
2017-06-03,2112
2017-06-04,2119
2017-06-05,2052
2017-06-06,1991
2017-06-07,1971
2017-06-08,1899
2017-06-09,1830
2017-06-10,1693
2017-06-11,1655
2017-06-12,1720
2017-06-13,1670
2017-06-14,1519
2017-06-15,1550
2017-06-16,1489
2017-06-17,1410
2017-06-18,1291
2017-06-19,1258
2017-06-20,1166
2017-06-21,1237
2017-06-22,1198
2017-06-23,1047
2017-06-24,995
2017-06-25,929
2017-06-26,847
2017-06-27,861
2017-06-28,782
2017-06-29,717
2017-06-30,654
2017-07-01,580
2017-07-02,543
2017-07-03,507
2017-07-04,465
2017-07-05,432
2017-07-06,405
2017-07-07,410
2017-07-08,388
2017-07-09,377
2017-07-10,358
2017-07-11,343
2017-07-12,325
2017-07-13,309
2017-07-14,292
2017-07-15,272
2017-07-16,267
2017-07-17,255
2017-07-18,242
2017-07-19,228
2017-07-20,218
2017-07-21,217
2017-07-22,208
2017-07-23,216
2017-07-24,204
2017-07-25,207
2017-07-26,200
2017-07-27,218
2017-07-28,197
2017-07-29,225
2017-07-30,217
2017-07-31,209


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.