McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 01 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-02,1109,Daily Model Output
2017-05-03,1462
2017-05-04,1670
2017-05-05,1915
2017-05-06,2362
2017-05-07,2824
2017-05-08,2998
2017-05-09,2867
2017-05-10,2676
2017-05-11,2554
2017-05-12,2180,ESP Model Output
2017-05-13,2212
2017-05-14,2072
2017-05-15,2178
2017-05-16,2386
2017-05-17,2455
2017-05-18,2494
2017-05-19,2645
2017-05-20,2594
2017-05-21,2496
2017-05-22,2477
2017-05-23,2395
2017-05-24,2290
2017-05-25,2243
2017-05-26,2232
2017-05-27,2221
2017-05-28,2147
2017-05-29,2367
2017-05-30,2376
2017-05-31,2384
2017-06-01,2134
2017-06-02,2089
2017-06-03,2093
2017-06-04,2167
2017-06-05,2100
2017-06-06,2051
2017-06-07,2001
2017-06-08,1925
2017-06-09,1866
2017-06-10,1780
2017-06-11,1678
2017-06-12,1722
2017-06-13,1678
2017-06-14,1504
2017-06-15,1564
2017-06-16,1519
2017-06-17,1441
2017-06-18,1329
2017-06-19,1326
2017-06-20,1184
2017-06-21,1280
2017-06-22,1240
2017-06-23,1105
2017-06-24,1016
2017-06-25,934
2017-06-26,896
2017-06-27,880
2017-06-28,795
2017-06-29,728
2017-06-30,665
2017-07-01,592
2017-07-02,555
2017-07-03,517
2017-07-04,473
2017-07-05,440
2017-07-06,412
2017-07-07,414
2017-07-08,392
2017-07-09,391
2017-07-10,364
2017-07-11,354
2017-07-12,336
2017-07-13,320
2017-07-14,304
2017-07-15,275
2017-07-16,276
2017-07-17,263
2017-07-18,251
2017-07-19,230
2017-07-20,220
2017-07-21,224
2017-07-22,215
2017-07-23,222
2017-07-24,205
2017-07-25,210
2017-07-26,206
2017-07-27,219
2017-07-28,199
2017-07-29,226
2017-07-30,220
2017-07-31,210


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.