McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 02 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-03,1137,Daily Model Output
2017-05-04,1543
2017-05-05,1751
2017-05-06,2164
2017-05-07,2759
2017-05-08,3246
2017-05-09,3338
2017-05-10,3148
2017-05-11,2872
2017-05-12,2330
2017-05-13,2512,ESP Model Output
2017-05-14,2326
2017-05-15,2427
2017-05-16,2569
2017-05-17,2590
2017-05-18,2594
2017-05-19,2705
2017-05-20,2665
2017-05-21,2590
2017-05-22,2538
2017-05-23,2416
2017-05-24,2303
2017-05-25,2275
2017-05-26,2211
2017-05-27,2237
2017-05-28,2145
2017-05-29,2305
2017-05-30,2273
2017-05-31,2275
2017-06-01,2074
2017-06-02,2076
2017-06-03,2013
2017-06-04,2076
2017-06-05,2016
2017-06-06,1976
2017-06-07,1913
2017-06-08,1790
2017-06-09,1778
2017-06-10,1644
2017-06-11,1562
2017-06-12,1664
2017-06-13,1573
2017-06-14,1420
2017-06-15,1435
2017-06-16,1422
2017-06-17,1353
2017-06-18,1234
2017-06-19,1227
2017-06-20,1095
2017-06-21,1197
2017-06-22,1107
2017-06-23,1012
2017-06-24,934
2017-06-25,856
2017-06-26,808
2017-06-27,806
2017-06-28,732
2017-06-29,675
2017-06-30,616
2017-07-01,545
2017-07-02,499
2017-07-03,467
2017-07-04,436
2017-07-05,411
2017-07-06,389
2017-07-07,394
2017-07-08,373
2017-07-09,364
2017-07-10,346
2017-07-11,341
2017-07-12,324
2017-07-13,308
2017-07-14,293
2017-07-15,264
2017-07-16,266
2017-07-17,254
2017-07-18,243
2017-07-19,221
2017-07-20,212
2017-07-21,212
2017-07-22,203
2017-07-23,216
2017-07-24,199
2017-07-25,203
2017-07-26,197
2017-07-27,209
2017-07-28,197
2017-07-29,219
2017-07-30,213
2017-07-31,201


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.