McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 03 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-04,1163,Daily Model Output
2017-05-05,1558
2017-05-06,1965
2017-05-07,2460
2017-05-08,2820
2017-05-09,2608
2017-05-10,2294
2017-05-11,2086
2017-05-12,1739
2017-05-13,1651
2017-05-14,2340,ESP Model Output
2017-05-15,2445
2017-05-16,2551
2017-05-17,2599
2017-05-18,2633
2017-05-19,2720
2017-05-20,2640
2017-05-21,2600
2017-05-22,2557
2017-05-23,2430
2017-05-24,2309
2017-05-25,2309
2017-05-26,2223
2017-05-27,2233
2017-05-28,2152
2017-05-29,2241
2017-05-30,2275
2017-05-31,2280
2017-06-01,2089
2017-06-02,2061
2017-06-03,2022
2017-06-04,2049
2017-06-05,2003
2017-06-06,1942
2017-06-07,1898
2017-06-08,1784
2017-06-09,1769
2017-06-10,1638
2017-06-11,1561
2017-06-12,1674
2017-06-13,1579
2017-06-14,1425
2017-06-15,1393
2017-06-16,1382
2017-06-17,1335
2017-06-18,1244
2017-06-19,1223
2017-06-20,1097
2017-06-21,1184
2017-06-22,1080
2017-06-23,966
2017-06-24,909
2017-06-25,827
2017-06-26,777
2017-06-27,765
2017-06-28,723
2017-06-29,684
2017-06-30,629
2017-07-01,556
2017-07-02,508
2017-07-03,472
2017-07-04,437
2017-07-05,405
2017-07-06,380
2017-07-07,392
2017-07-08,372
2017-07-09,356
2017-07-10,343
2017-07-11,329
2017-07-12,322
2017-07-13,306
2017-07-14,289
2017-07-15,263
2017-07-16,257
2017-07-17,253
2017-07-18,242
2017-07-19,220
2017-07-20,211
2017-07-21,209
2017-07-22,201
2017-07-23,212
2017-07-24,200
2017-07-25,199
2017-07-26,196
2017-07-27,206
2017-07-28,197
2017-07-29,216
2017-07-30,212
2017-07-31,200


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.