McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 04 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-05,1145,Daily Model Output
2017-05-06,1608
2017-05-07,2303
2017-05-08,2687
2017-05-09,2622
2017-05-10,2441
2017-05-11,2213
2017-05-12,1908
2017-05-13,2005
2017-05-14,2184
2017-05-15,2102,ESP Model Output
2017-05-16,2182
2017-05-17,2273
2017-05-18,2422
2017-05-19,2454
2017-05-20,2409
2017-05-21,2380
2017-05-22,2393
2017-05-23,2300
2017-05-24,2262
2017-05-25,2249
2017-05-26,2182
2017-05-27,2226
2017-05-28,2139
2017-05-29,2298
2017-05-30,2282
2017-05-31,2285
2017-06-01,2119
2017-06-02,2078
2017-06-03,2074
2017-06-04,2054
2017-06-05,2062
2017-06-06,2005
2017-06-07,1950
2017-06-08,1871
2017-06-09,1836
2017-06-10,1715
2017-06-11,1639
2017-06-12,1687
2017-06-13,1645
2017-06-14,1491
2017-06-15,1466
2017-06-16,1509
2017-06-17,1378
2017-06-18,1324
2017-06-19,1302
2017-06-20,1196
2017-06-21,1267
2017-06-22,1162
2017-06-23,1083
2017-06-24,990
2017-06-25,912
2017-06-26,828
2017-06-27,845
2017-06-28,809
2017-06-29,741
2017-06-30,677
2017-07-01,612
2017-07-02,555
2017-07-03,513
2017-07-04,480
2017-07-05,443
2017-07-06,413
2017-07-07,418
2017-07-08,395
2017-07-09,380
2017-07-10,360
2017-07-11,349
2017-07-12,333
2017-07-13,319
2017-07-14,300
2017-07-15,277
2017-07-16,272
2017-07-17,259
2017-07-18,248
2017-07-19,231
2017-07-20,221
2017-07-21,218
2017-07-22,209
2017-07-23,220
2017-07-24,210
2017-07-25,202
2017-07-26,204
2017-07-27,205
2017-07-28,200
2017-07-29,219
2017-07-30,217
2017-07-31,206


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.