McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 05 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-06,1962,Daily Model Output
2017-05-07,2570
2017-05-08,2932
2017-05-09,2808
2017-05-10,2739
2017-05-11,2452
2017-05-12,2014
2017-05-13,2093
2017-05-14,2302
2017-05-15,2435
2017-05-16,2577,ESP Model Output
2017-05-17,2419
2017-05-18,2483
2017-05-19,2531
2017-05-20,2436
2017-05-21,2425
2017-05-22,2367
2017-05-23,2299
2017-05-24,2255
2017-05-25,2252
2017-05-26,2174
2017-05-27,2143
2017-05-28,2117
2017-05-29,2227
2017-05-30,2220
2017-05-31,2205
2017-06-01,2056
2017-06-02,1997
2017-06-03,2003
2017-06-04,1941
2017-06-05,1977
2017-06-06,1893
2017-06-07,1887
2017-06-08,1814
2017-06-09,1731
2017-06-10,1585
2017-06-11,1582
2017-06-12,1586
2017-06-13,1553
2017-06-14,1457
2017-06-15,1398
2017-06-16,1386
2017-06-17,1291
2017-06-18,1267
2017-06-19,1219
2017-06-20,1149
2017-06-21,1141
2017-06-22,1038
2017-06-23,994
2017-06-24,908
2017-06-25,810
2017-06-26,764
2017-06-27,745
2017-06-28,705
2017-06-29,686
2017-06-30,631
2017-07-01,573
2017-07-02,534
2017-07-03,464
2017-07-04,422
2017-07-05,391
2017-07-06,371
2017-07-07,393
2017-07-08,373
2017-07-09,354
2017-07-10,342
2017-07-11,325
2017-07-12,309
2017-07-13,303
2017-07-14,281
2017-07-15,267
2017-07-16,255
2017-07-17,244
2017-07-18,233
2017-07-19,222
2017-07-20,213
2017-07-21,205
2017-07-22,197
2017-07-23,213
2017-07-24,202
2017-07-25,196
2017-07-26,198
2017-07-27,196
2017-07-28,195
2017-07-29,210
2017-07-30,213
2017-07-31,200


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.