McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 06 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-07,2590,Daily Model Output
2017-05-08,2887
2017-05-09,2918
2017-05-10,2611
2017-05-11,2530
2017-05-12,2348
2017-05-13,2289
2017-05-14,2448
2017-05-15,2568
2017-05-16,2572
2017-05-17,2501,ESP Model Output
2017-05-18,2526
2017-05-19,2607
2017-05-20,2467
2017-05-21,2460
2017-05-22,2408
2017-05-23,2349
2017-05-24,2261
2017-05-25,2216
2017-05-26,2176
2017-05-27,2135
2017-05-28,2125
2017-05-29,2181
2017-05-30,2196
2017-05-31,2180
2017-06-01,2034
2017-06-02,1928
2017-06-03,1985
2017-06-04,1900
2017-06-05,1957
2017-06-06,1924
2017-06-07,1867
2017-06-08,1802
2017-06-09,1696
2017-06-10,1562
2017-06-11,1577
2017-06-12,1569
2017-06-13,1533
2017-06-14,1439
2017-06-15,1389
2017-06-16,1379
2017-06-17,1272
2017-06-18,1220
2017-06-19,1205
2017-06-20,1143
2017-06-21,1089
2017-06-22,1037
2017-06-23,983
2017-06-24,872
2017-06-25,791
2017-06-26,746
2017-06-27,703
2017-06-28,663
2017-06-29,645
2017-06-30,590
2017-07-01,548
2017-07-02,503
2017-07-03,452
2017-07-04,419
2017-07-05,393
2017-07-06,371
2017-07-07,380
2017-07-08,362
2017-07-09,344
2017-07-10,327
2017-07-11,311
2017-07-12,305
2017-07-13,294
2017-07-14,277
2017-07-15,259
2017-07-16,252
2017-07-17,243
2017-07-18,233
2017-07-19,219
2017-07-20,210
2017-07-21,204
2017-07-22,197
2017-07-23,214
2017-07-24,203
2017-07-25,197
2017-07-26,198
2017-07-27,192
2017-07-28,196
2017-07-29,206
2017-07-30,207
2017-07-31,193


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.