McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 07 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-08,2861,Daily Model Output
2017-05-09,2894
2017-05-10,2866
2017-05-11,2815
2017-05-12,2368
2017-05-13,2348
2017-05-14,2507
2017-05-15,2690
2017-05-16,2725
2017-05-17,2656
2017-05-18,2623,ESP Model Output
2017-05-19,2660
2017-05-20,2520
2017-05-21,2498
2017-05-22,2454
2017-05-23,2432
2017-05-24,2310
2017-05-25,2243
2017-05-26,2206
2017-05-27,2148
2017-05-28,2169
2017-05-29,2217
2017-05-30,2206
2017-05-31,2139
2017-06-01,2029
2017-06-02,1931
2017-06-03,2001
2017-06-04,1881
2017-06-05,1949
2017-06-06,1933
2017-06-07,1892
2017-06-08,1811
2017-06-09,1695
2017-06-10,1561
2017-06-11,1585
2017-06-12,1549
2017-06-13,1518
2017-06-14,1387
2017-06-15,1389
2017-06-16,1371
2017-06-17,1276
2017-06-18,1205
2017-06-19,1205
2017-06-20,1151
2017-06-21,1027
2017-06-22,975
2017-06-23,963
2017-06-24,847
2017-06-25,803
2017-06-26,709
2017-06-27,694
2017-06-28,628
2017-06-29,632
2017-06-30,573
2017-07-01,530
2017-07-02,495
2017-07-03,464
2017-07-04,430
2017-07-05,403
2017-07-06,380
2017-07-07,370
2017-07-08,355
2017-07-09,337
2017-07-10,320
2017-07-11,305
2017-07-12,295
2017-07-13,294
2017-07-14,268
2017-07-15,256
2017-07-16,244
2017-07-17,243
2017-07-18,233
2017-07-19,214
2017-07-20,205
2017-07-21,198
2017-07-22,197
2017-07-23,215
2017-07-24,204
2017-07-25,194
2017-07-26,198
2017-07-27,195
2017-07-28,196
2017-07-29,205
2017-07-30,208
2017-07-31,194


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.