McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 08 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-09,3285,Daily Model Output
2017-05-10,3281
2017-05-11,3386
2017-05-12,2909
2017-05-13,2672
2017-05-14,2881
2017-05-15,3004
2017-05-16,2917
2017-05-17,2748
2017-05-18,2592
2017-05-19,2665,ESP Model Output
2017-05-20,2609
2017-05-21,2516
2017-05-22,2519
2017-05-23,2467
2017-05-24,2303
2017-05-25,2208
2017-05-26,2169
2017-05-27,2115
2017-05-28,2098
2017-05-29,2206
2017-05-30,2165
2017-05-31,2091
2017-06-01,2005
2017-06-02,1867
2017-06-03,1946
2017-06-04,1849
2017-06-05,1908
2017-06-06,1818
2017-06-07,1798
2017-06-08,1760
2017-06-09,1649
2017-06-10,1532
2017-06-11,1537
2017-06-12,1479
2017-06-13,1459
2017-06-14,1340
2017-06-15,1338
2017-06-16,1318
2017-06-17,1236
2017-06-18,1118
2017-06-19,1134
2017-06-20,1113
2017-06-21,952
2017-06-22,902
2017-06-23,921
2017-06-24,819
2017-06-25,732
2017-06-26,673
2017-06-27,654
2017-06-28,592
2017-06-29,567
2017-06-30,518
2017-07-01,481
2017-07-02,451
2017-07-03,425
2017-07-04,402
2017-07-05,381
2017-07-06,361
2017-07-07,348
2017-07-08,340
2017-07-09,318
2017-07-10,303
2017-07-11,288
2017-07-12,278
2017-07-13,291
2017-07-14,257
2017-07-15,241
2017-07-16,234
2017-07-17,241
2017-07-18,226
2017-07-19,206
2017-07-20,195
2017-07-21,190
2017-07-22,196
2017-07-23,211
2017-07-24,202
2017-07-25,188
2017-07-26,191
2017-07-27,194
2017-07-28,195
2017-07-29,202
2017-07-30,207
2017-07-31,193


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.