McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 09 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-10,3236,Daily Model Output (20170509)
2017-05-11,3374
2017-05-12,3170
2017-05-13,2865
2017-05-14,2940
2017-05-15,2982
2017-05-16,2831
2017-05-17,2599
2017-05-18,2417
2017-05-19,2309
2017-05-20,2576,ESP Model Output (20170508)
2017-05-21,2583
2017-05-22,2591
2017-05-23,2483
2017-05-24,2380
2017-05-25,2274
2017-05-26,2275
2017-05-27,2205
2017-05-28,2186
2017-05-29,2213
2017-05-30,2211
2017-05-31,2150
2017-06-01,2066
2017-06-02,1863
2017-06-03,1964
2017-06-04,1947
2017-06-05,1973
2017-06-06,1863
2017-06-07,1833
2017-06-08,1814
2017-06-09,1700
2017-06-10,1607
2017-06-11,1585
2017-06-12,1469
2017-06-13,1449
2017-06-14,1354
2017-06-15,1348
2017-06-16,1326
2017-06-17,1268
2017-06-18,1126
2017-06-19,1135
2017-06-20,1139
2017-06-21,973
2017-06-22,943
2017-06-23,962
2017-06-24,779
2017-06-25,735
2017-06-26,677
2017-06-27,642
2017-06-28,601
2017-06-29,570
2017-06-30,521
2017-07-01,487
2017-07-02,454
2017-07-03,432
2017-07-04,404
2017-07-05,383
2017-07-06,363
2017-07-07,361
2017-07-08,349
2017-07-09,328
2017-07-10,315
2017-07-11,297
2017-07-12,290
2017-07-13,295
2017-07-14,263
2017-07-15,251
2017-07-16,243
2017-07-17,249
2017-07-18,232
2017-07-19,212
2017-07-20,202
2017-07-21,195
2017-07-22,204
2017-07-23,202
2017-07-24,204
2017-07-25,193
2017-07-26,185
2017-07-27,198
2017-07-28,200
2017-07-29,199
2017-07-30,204
2017-07-31,200


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.