McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 10 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-11,3299,Daily Model Output (20170510)
2017-05-12,3217
2017-05-13,2852
2017-05-14,3085
2017-05-15,3166
2017-05-16,2904
2017-05-17,2488
2017-05-18,2297
2017-05-19,2214
2017-05-20,1998
2017-05-21,2341,ESP Model Output (20170509)
2017-05-22,2407
2017-05-23,2352
2017-05-24,2296
2017-05-25,2201
2017-05-26,2260
2017-05-27,2161
2017-05-28,2165
2017-05-29,2183
2017-05-30,2190
2017-05-31,2136
2017-06-01,2042
2017-06-02,1866
2017-06-03,1969
2017-06-04,1942
2017-06-05,1983
2017-06-06,1873
2017-06-07,1846
2017-06-08,1814
2017-06-09,1721
2017-06-10,1616
2017-06-11,1595
2017-06-12,1475
2017-06-13,1423
2017-06-14,1356
2017-06-15,1338
2017-06-16,1311
2017-06-17,1276
2017-06-18,1159
2017-06-19,1133
2017-06-20,1093
2017-06-21,1005
2017-06-22,895
2017-06-23,963
2017-06-24,799
2017-06-25,730
2017-06-26,697
2017-06-27,662
2017-06-28,618
2017-06-29,564
2017-06-30,523
2017-07-01,489
2017-07-02,460
2017-07-03,426
2017-07-04,400
2017-07-05,379
2017-07-06,359
2017-07-07,357
2017-07-08,344
2017-07-09,322
2017-07-10,312
2017-07-11,296
2017-07-12,296
2017-07-13,283
2017-07-14,268
2017-07-15,256
2017-07-16,244
2017-07-17,249
2017-07-18,231
2017-07-19,214
2017-07-20,203
2017-07-21,198
2017-07-22,204
2017-07-23,201
2017-07-24,205
2017-07-25,194
2017-07-26,186
2017-07-27,198
2017-07-28,201
2017-07-29,198
2017-07-30,203
2017-07-31,199


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.