McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 11 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-12,2841,Daily Model Output (20170511)
2017-05-13,2528
2017-05-14,2818
2017-05-15,2910
2017-05-16,2778
2017-05-17,2437
2017-05-18,2086
2017-05-19,2027
2017-05-20,1643
2017-05-21,1401
2017-05-22,2084,ESP Model Output (20170510)
2017-05-23,2199
2017-05-24,2168
2017-05-25,2114
2017-05-26,2195
2017-05-27,2097
2017-05-28,2142
2017-05-29,2147
2017-05-30,2198
2017-05-31,2092
2017-06-01,2002
2017-06-02,1886
2017-06-03,1924
2017-06-04,1930
2017-06-05,1998
2017-06-06,1910
2017-06-07,1875
2017-06-08,1831
2017-06-09,1769
2017-06-10,1647
2017-06-11,1621
2017-06-12,1519
2017-06-13,1470
2017-06-14,1390
2017-06-15,1380
2017-06-16,1367
2017-06-17,1323
2017-06-18,1229
2017-06-19,1184
2017-06-20,1108
2017-06-21,1042
2017-06-22,944
2017-06-23,1009
2017-06-24,859
2017-06-25,788
2017-06-26,745
2017-06-27,700
2017-06-28,657
2017-06-29,594
2017-06-30,548
2017-07-01,508
2017-07-02,477
2017-07-03,450
2017-07-04,413
2017-07-05,390
2017-07-06,370
2017-07-07,373
2017-07-08,361
2017-07-09,332
2017-07-10,325
2017-07-11,309
2017-07-12,295
2017-07-13,292
2017-07-14,278
2017-07-15,265
2017-07-16,253
2017-07-17,257
2017-07-18,239
2017-07-19,219
2017-07-20,210
2017-07-21,203
2017-07-22,202
2017-07-23,204
2017-07-24,206
2017-07-25,195
2017-07-26,186
2017-07-27,197
2017-07-28,202
2017-07-29,202
2017-07-30,208
2017-07-31,199


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.