McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 12 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-13,2475,Daily Model Output (20170512)
2017-05-14,2843
2017-05-15,2950
2017-05-16,2883
2017-05-17,2560
2017-05-18,2131
2017-05-19,1884
2017-05-20,1593
2017-05-21,1421
2017-05-22,1366
2017-05-23,1809,ESP Model Output (20170511)
2017-05-24,1987
2017-05-25,2047
2017-05-26,2090
2017-05-27,2024
2017-05-28,2068
2017-05-29,2145
2017-05-30,2188
2017-05-31,2111
2017-06-01,1923
2017-06-02,1882
2017-06-03,1935
2017-06-04,1983
2017-06-05,2086
2017-06-06,1973
2017-06-07,1925
2017-06-08,1913
2017-06-09,1834
2017-06-10,1707
2017-06-11,1680
2017-06-12,1638
2017-06-13,1541
2017-06-14,1469
2017-06-15,1471
2017-06-16,1448
2017-06-17,1381
2017-06-18,1283
2017-06-19,1231
2017-06-20,1155
2017-06-21,1113
2017-06-22,1031
2017-06-23,1064
2017-06-24,952
2017-06-25,875
2017-06-26,824
2017-06-27,754
2017-06-28,719
2017-06-29,654
2017-06-30,589
2017-07-01,563
2017-07-02,516
2017-07-03,504
2017-07-04,450
2017-07-05,420
2017-07-06,395
2017-07-07,389
2017-07-08,377
2017-07-09,356
2017-07-10,337
2017-07-11,335
2017-07-12,318
2017-07-13,305
2017-07-14,290
2017-07-15,278
2017-07-16,265
2017-07-17,270
2017-07-18,254
2017-07-19,230
2017-07-20,220
2017-07-21,214
2017-07-22,207
2017-07-23,213
2017-07-24,213
2017-07-25,201
2017-07-26,193
2017-07-27,206
2017-07-28,205
2017-07-29,207
2017-07-30,216
2017-07-31,202


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.