McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 15 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-16,3016,Daily Model Output (20170515)
2017-05-17,2748
2017-05-18,2180
2017-05-19,1816
2017-05-20,1576
2017-05-21,1448
2017-05-22,1386
2017-05-23,1511
2017-05-24,1678
2017-05-25,1866
2017-05-26,1946,ESP Model Output (20170514)
2017-05-27,1914
2017-05-28,2013
2017-05-29,2128
2017-05-30,2124
2017-05-31,2193
2017-06-01,1952
2017-06-02,1955
2017-06-03,2032
2017-06-04,1986
2017-06-05,2155
2017-06-06,1985
2017-06-07,2030
2017-06-08,1959
2017-06-09,1931
2017-06-10,1800
2017-06-11,1766
2017-06-12,1680
2017-06-13,1600
2017-06-14,1460
2017-06-15,1503
2017-06-16,1516
2017-06-17,1441
2017-06-18,1386
2017-06-19,1314
2017-06-20,1340
2017-06-21,1159
2017-06-22,1106
2017-06-23,1070
2017-06-24,977
2017-06-25,903
2017-06-26,829
2017-06-27,799
2017-06-28,735
2017-06-29,665
2017-06-30,617
2017-07-01,562
2017-07-02,526
2017-07-03,526
2017-07-04,468
2017-07-05,429
2017-07-06,397
2017-07-07,403
2017-07-08,377
2017-07-09,355
2017-07-10,349
2017-07-11,332
2017-07-12,315
2017-07-13,320
2017-07-14,305
2017-07-15,290
2017-07-16,291
2017-07-17,277
2017-07-18,253
2017-07-19,232
2017-07-20,222
2017-07-21,216
2017-07-22,223
2017-07-23,218
2017-07-24,214
2017-07-25,209
2017-07-26,195
2017-07-27,211
2017-07-28,215
2017-07-29,213
2017-07-30,216
2017-07-31,207


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.