McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 16 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-17,2872,Daily Model Output (20170516)
2017-05-18,2322
2017-05-19,1891
2017-05-20,1621
2017-05-21,1467
2017-05-22,1429
2017-05-23,1547
2017-05-24,1668
2017-05-25,1753
2017-05-26,1815
2017-05-27,2028,ESP Model Output (20170515)
2017-05-28,2059
2017-05-29,2176
2017-05-30,2149
2017-05-31,2165
2017-06-01,1990
2017-06-02,1997
2017-06-03,2068
2017-06-04,2002
2017-06-05,2190
2017-06-06,2044
2017-06-07,2020
2017-06-08,1963
2017-06-09,1986
2017-06-10,1853
2017-06-11,1789
2017-06-12,1705
2017-06-13,1647
2017-06-14,1498
2017-06-15,1545
2017-06-16,1551
2017-06-17,1484
2017-06-18,1391
2017-06-19,1363
2017-06-20,1396
2017-06-21,1209
2017-06-22,1132
2017-06-23,1076
2017-06-24,1001
2017-06-25,914
2017-06-26,851
2017-06-27,858
2017-06-28,756
2017-06-29,694
2017-06-30,656
2017-07-01,590
2017-07-02,555
2017-07-03,524
2017-07-04,478
2017-07-05,446
2017-07-06,403
2017-07-07,399
2017-07-08,378
2017-07-09,358
2017-07-10,346
2017-07-11,328
2017-07-12,312
2017-07-13,320
2017-07-14,312
2017-07-15,293
2017-07-16,290
2017-07-17,277
2017-07-18,251
2017-07-19,233
2017-07-20,221
2017-07-21,212
2017-07-22,224
2017-07-23,222
2017-07-24,214
2017-07-25,211
2017-07-26,198
2017-07-27,212
2017-07-28,217
2017-07-29,213
2017-07-30,215
2017-07-31,207


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.