McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 24 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-25,1750,Daily Model Output (20170524)
2017-05-26,2144
2017-05-27,2260
2017-05-28,2033
2017-05-29,1819
2017-05-30,1704
2017-05-31,1796
2017-06-01,1986
2017-06-02,2215
2017-06-03,2191
2017-06-04,2171,ESP Model Output (20170523)
2017-06-05,2163
2017-06-06,2061
2017-06-07,2031
2017-06-08,1953
2017-06-09,1971
2017-06-10,1845
2017-06-11,1824
2017-06-12,1759
2017-06-13,1717
2017-06-14,1601
2017-06-15,1525
2017-06-16,1535
2017-06-17,1446
2017-06-18,1384
2017-06-19,1287
2017-06-20,1202
2017-06-21,1128
2017-06-22,1164
2017-06-23,1053
2017-06-24,976
2017-06-25,869
2017-06-26,838
2017-06-27,814
2017-06-28,722
2017-06-29,675
2017-06-30,628
2017-07-01,576
2017-07-02,528
2017-07-03,509
2017-07-04,461
2017-07-05,432
2017-07-06,399
2017-07-07,382
2017-07-08,362
2017-07-09,346
2017-07-10,329
2017-07-11,318
2017-07-12,298
2017-07-13,293
2017-07-14,286
2017-07-15,273
2017-07-16,268
2017-07-17,262
2017-07-18,247
2017-07-19,225
2017-07-20,214
2017-07-21,209
2017-07-22,219
2017-07-23,211
2017-07-24,205
2017-07-25,217
2017-07-26,208
2017-07-27,228
2017-07-28,220
2017-07-29,212
2017-07-30,206
2017-07-31,195


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.