McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 01 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-02,2221,Daily Model Output (20170601)
2017-06-03,2056
2017-06-04,2187
2017-06-05,2378
2017-06-06,2403
2017-06-07,2284
2017-06-08,2117
2017-06-09,1992
2017-06-10,1885
2017-06-11,1773
2017-06-12,1704,ESP Model Output (20170531)
2017-06-13,1632
2017-06-14,1507
2017-06-15,1452
2017-06-16,1440
2017-06-17,1381
2017-06-18,1315
2017-06-19,1248
2017-06-20,1164
2017-06-21,1062
2017-06-22,1006
2017-06-23,909
2017-06-24,829
2017-06-25,762
2017-06-26,715
2017-06-27,703
2017-06-28,612
2017-06-29,545
2017-06-30,506
2017-07-01,474
2017-07-02,442
2017-07-03,417
2017-07-04,396
2017-07-05,373
2017-07-06,352
2017-07-07,338
2017-07-08,319
2017-07-09,305
2017-07-10,290
2017-07-11,282
2017-07-12,269
2017-07-13,267
2017-07-14,259
2017-07-15,253
2017-07-16,242
2017-07-17,235
2017-07-18,225
2017-07-19,212
2017-07-20,200
2017-07-21,193
2017-07-22,202
2017-07-23,194
2017-07-24,197
2017-07-25,195
2017-07-26,185
2017-07-27,184
2017-07-28,196
2017-07-29,202
2017-07-30,195
2017-07-31,185


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.