McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 24 2018

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2018-05-25,215,Daily Model Output (20180524)
2018-05-26,216
2018-05-27,216
2018-05-28,207
2018-05-29,191
2018-05-30,183
2018-05-31,177
2018-06-01,169
2018-06-02,161
2018-06-03,153
2018-06-04,146
2018-06-05,140
2018-06-06,134
2018-06-07,128
2018-06-08,123
2018-06-09,118,ESP Model Output (20180523)
2018-06-10,113
2018-06-11,109
2018-06-12,105
2018-06-13,101
2018-06-14,97
2018-06-15,93
2018-06-16,90
2018-06-17,87
2018-06-18,84
2018-06-19,81
2018-06-20,78
2018-06-21,75
2018-06-22,73
2018-06-23,70
2018-06-24,68
2018-06-25,66
2018-06-26,64
2018-06-27,62
2018-06-28,60
2018-06-29,58
2018-06-30,57
2018-07-01,55
2018-07-02,54
2018-07-03,52
2018-07-04,51
2018-07-05,49
2018-07-06,48
2018-07-07,47
2018-07-08,46
2018-07-09,45
2018-07-10,44
2018-07-11,43
2018-07-12,42
2018-07-13,42
2018-07-14,43
2018-07-15,45
2018-07-16,41
2018-07-17,48
2018-07-18,49
2018-07-19,45
2018-07-20,45
2018-07-21,45
2018-07-22,46
2018-07-23,45
2018-07-24,52
2018-07-25,53
2018-07-26,56
2018-07-27,54
2018-07-28,59
2018-07-29,60
2018-07-30,72
2018-07-31,64


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-15 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 15 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 16 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model. Some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs; diversions; etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.