Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2019-05-06 - 2019-07-31 Simulation date: 2019-05-06 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2019-05-06 2606.77 2606.77 2606.77 2606.77 2606.77 2606.77 2606.77 2606.77 2606.77 2019-05-07 2730.03 2730.03 2730.03 2730.03 2730.03 2730.03 2730.03 2730.03 2730.03 2019-05-08 3125.75 3125.75 3125.75 3125.75 3125.75 3125.75 3125.75 3125.75 3125.75 2019-05-09 3173.27 3173.27 3173.27 3173.27 3173.27 3173.27 3173.27 3173.27 3173.27 2019-05-10 3224.93 3224.93 3224.93 3224.93 3224.93 3224.93 3224.93 3224.93 3224.93 2019-05-11 3383.07 3383.07 3383.07 3383.07 3383.07 3383.07 3383.07 3383.07 3383.07 2019-05-12 3309.05 3309.05 3309.05 3309.05 3365.48 3365.49 3385.52 3400.07 3456.01 2019-05-13 2900.97 2902.15 2915.28 2934.02 3084.37 3118.72 3155.25 3204.36 3310.99 2019-05-14 2795.13 2812.06 2843.54 2916.07 2932.75 3015.50 3076.25 3235.55 3814.60 2019-05-15 2916.70 2931.35 2997.22 3055.82 3166.05 3227.67 3299.59 3470.59 4009.31 2019-05-16 3059.59 3086.88 3144.48 3205.48 3321.49 3429.93 3550.59 3619.92 3881.75 2019-05-17 3127.92 3180.86 3222.80 3316.76 3340.74 3436.31 3599.09 3776.56 3975.82 2019-05-18 3023.43 3211.43 3289.70 3363.47 3447.09 3608.61 3775.57 3853.78 4031.66 2019-05-19 2623.99 2931.98 3080.70 3217.41 3416.56 3573.28 3718.66 3790.64 3927.11 2019-05-20 2449.70 2793.96 2995.13 3174.04 3415.97 3456.31 3612.72 3701.96 3823.51 2019-05-21 2352.15 2723.50 3029.01 3223.75 3256.03 3442.88 3512.72 3620.26 3768.41 2019-05-22 2266.72 2762.33 2909.47 3067.76 3242.32 3369.14 3459.87 3657.46 3982.77 2019-05-23 2415.88 2755.96 2869.85 3014.45 3105.42 3272.43 3334.69 3442.61 3840.90 2019-05-24 2346.09 2526.51 2741.19 2965.92 3006.52 3070.74 3201.78 3360.13 3706.03 2019-05-25 2167.54 2483.20 2777.83 2893.67 2916.88 2995.40 3104.24 3269.18 3918.34 2019-05-26 2155.92 2510.75 2642.70 2726.71 2809.62 2895.22 3056.61 3276.86 3971.37 2019-05-27 2211.97 2461.35 2536.69 2618.23 2770.56 2923.64 3076.16 3379.99 3851.22 2019-05-28 2295.19 2396.31 2522.69 2683.83 2826.72 2937.82 3046.03 3396.33 3698.16 2019-05-29 2136.79 2440.20 2571.52 2724.41 2850.82 3070.70 3161.50 3347.93 3621.52 2019-05-30 2013.18 2500.59 2630.82 2765.23 2886.56 3057.74 3216.90 3472.56 3575.66 2019-05-31 2136.35 2349.49 2523.76 2773.17 2967.87 3058.99 3168.52 3300.79 3850.56 2019-06-01 1948.49 2279.15 2468.76 2567.72 2788.53 2963.67 3125.35 3429.16 3918.28 2019-06-02 2025.64 2249.28 2390.06 2557.44 2695.07 2782.38 3099.78 3369.91 3786.23 2019-06-03 2032.29 2272.47 2510.59 2602.57 2757.03 2993.08 3149.03 3305.50 3661.36 2019-06-04 2007.12 2389.17 2574.84 2636.41 2783.66 2916.07 3169.48 3346.04 3426.88 2019-06-05 2075.66 2455.72 2541.89 2653.47 2866.25 2916.65 2986.46 3093.27 3298.60 2019-06-06 2031.90 2371.08 2523.22 2629.68 2738.09 2904.72 3038.86 3144.97 3276.86 2019-06-07 1921.80 2160.32 2395.30 2507.13 2791.68 2926.25 3013.43 3215.68 3359.34 2019-06-08 1832.48 2121.86 2302.04 2447.77 2638.35 2928.20 3019.27 3089.61 3427.79 2019-06-09 1857.98 1965.14 2168.44 2499.02 2583.54 2802.14 2862.32 3111.53 3384.58 2019-06-10 1725.36 1972.30 2222.70 2331.84 2456.42 2563.99 2674.62 2939.37 3408.20 2019-06-11 1569.06 2074.36 2150.87 2244.66 2423.03 2477.04 2674.88 2780.36 3363.73 2019-06-12 1579.97 1931.27 2117.25 2231.82 2312.04 2486.87 2607.94 2686.70 3263.03 2019-06-13 1742.74 1915.37 2021.10 2101.61 2226.85 2385.37 2516.07 2653.78 3095.07 2019-06-14 1675.60 1787.45 1923.90 2002.97 2113.94 2301.65 2399.03 2658.99 2921.81 2019-06-15 1591.36 1691.91 1800.96 2008.60 2119.42 2204.51 2282.12 2612.67 2892.58 2019-06-16 1518.09 1623.82 1742.58 2071.19 2107.74 2131.44 2249.02 2436.52 2815.06 2019-06-17 1433.99 1546.96 1785.15 1839.64 1915.43 2036.92 2199.65 2401.52 2686.01 2019-06-18 1371.91 1502.45 1666.16 1785.11 1839.71 1903.07 2179.85 2421.53 2621.59 2019-06-19 1300.67 1438.13 1548.45 1663.84 1814.01 1938.74 2090.95 2361.55 2463.75 2019-06-20 1233.83 1305.34 1483.67 1635.95 1743.72 1991.90 2121.33 2280.22 2501.92 2019-06-21 1140.39 1306.28 1405.23 1591.10 1786.48 1921.15 2103.36 2229.92 2475.26 2019-06-22 1069.73 1208.61 1391.47 1536.57 1668.58 1813.03 2033.75 2149.31 2274.70 2019-06-23 975.73 1040.94 1384.90 1499.58 1659.37 1724.86 1896.51 2038.23 2110.61 2019-06-24 884.81 945.10 1259.56 1363.53 1428.18 1627.94 1798.46 1929.49 2153.56 2019-06-25 807.50 858.12 1084.32 1254.43 1355.85 1637.83 1749.16 1803.57 2207.02 2019-06-26 739.17 859.77 981.55 1205.34 1283.71 1482.83 1630.77 1769.42 2079.70 2019-06-27 677.57 866.40 910.01 1105.05 1357.41 1508.90 1653.62 1799.33 2056.70 2019-06-28 628.19 745.11 847.42 1005.63 1215.99 1347.56 1505.99 1625.42 2134.84 2019-06-29 587.37 671.24 759.78 957.07 1162.36 1268.90 1314.29 1519.96 2057.50 2019-06-30 552.10 617.58 701.65 870.37 1112.49 1174.81 1229.12 1420.05 1985.71 2019-07-01 520.62 574.49 642.51 813.51 891.37 1104.38 1150.49 1355.57 1567.04 2019-07-02 491.88 538.57 602.24 762.36 804.76 1013.59 1140.66 1259.17 1399.12 2019-07-03 465.37 507.18 566.73 698.57 723.64 925.59 991.21 1103.65 1389.32 2019-07-04 440.73 481.61 534.59 641.12 677.33 801.92 877.20 925.58 1219.95 2019-07-05 417.79 453.03 505.04 598.83 651.23 721.60 786.17 872.56 1106.84 2019-07-06 396.38 429.10 477.66 553.53 600.70 683.34 712.10 805.10 992.25 2019-07-07 387.58 414.51 455.50 525.46 608.44 639.34 659.92 750.34 1010.93 2019-07-08 359.84 393.06 431.39 495.03 572.48 597.77 635.78 696.40 997.94 2019-07-09 350.59 386.18 409.03 477.06 531.58 558.95 586.13 643.85 932.35 2019-07-10 333.59 366.73 412.85 451.31 501.67 535.77 583.84 704.83 843.73 2019-07-11 317.55 348.56 368.40 427.28 501.04 526.49 574.13 694.16 887.18 2019-07-12 302.49 320.86 352.30 415.33 470.86 507.77 577.86 646.44 823.48 2019-07-13 288.48 305.68 367.13 405.51 450.51 484.42 549.66 606.64 746.94 2019-07-14 277.41 291.68 342.68 382.11 419.97 442.82 514.01 540.46 829.85 2019-07-15 270.06 291.22 328.07 346.28 397.81 415.91 459.64 512.07 905.65 2019-07-16 258.10 279.84 320.30 354.79 379.91 399.13 443.36 475.24 693.39 2019-07-17 248.82 276.42 307.92 336.28 359.53 373.47 424.20 479.63 718.83 2019-07-18 242.97 269.50 291.85 313.00 341.30 348.85 391.49 441.56 667.04 2019-07-19 232.95 245.63 266.61 289.32 324.45 331.57 368.64 416.74 664.56 2019-07-20 221.83 230.90 252.67 271.92 308.98 316.00 359.88 394.59 632.52 2019-07-21 211.24 224.89 244.91 270.22 294.85 327.90 363.15 421.41 534.82 2019-07-22 202.57 216.26 236.99 275.56 283.89 332.59 353.86 368.53 545.56 2019-07-23 195.01 214.72 232.96 268.75 300.64 319.68 334.39 438.45 563.45 2019-07-24 190.93 213.10 232.46 257.02 286.88 308.09 333.24 410.77 494.77 2019-07-25 190.15 211.09 230.51 251.01 269.47 286.51 331.77 377.83 452.53 2019-07-26 187.11 198.28 232.39 248.37 261.79 277.76 351.62 458.61 586.30 2019-07-27 179.44 199.44 220.24 245.37 251.12 322.93 384.49 500.15 614.85 2019-07-28 173.50 188.44 210.78 233.52 245.47 298.20 375.06 440.76 526.86 2019-07-29 165.52 182.30 194.49 231.91 261.68 343.67 370.72 403.68 488.26 2019-07-30 160.45 178.62 218.08 244.00 277.06 316.90 338.42 367.46 420.80 2019-07-31 155.27 172.53 208.91 236.14 257.47 320.98 343.94 406.30 569.87