Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2019-05-10 - 2019-07-31 Simulation date: 2019-05-10 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2019-05-10 2600.30 2600.30 2600.30 2600.30 2600.30 2600.30 2600.30 2600.30 2600.30 2019-05-11 2151.57 2151.57 2151.57 2151.57 2151.57 2151.57 2151.57 2151.57 2151.57 2019-05-12 2372.79 2372.79 2372.79 2372.79 2372.79 2372.79 2372.79 2372.79 2372.79 2019-05-13 2814.31 2814.31 2814.31 2814.31 2814.31 2814.31 2814.31 2814.31 2814.31 2019-05-14 2964.54 2964.54 2964.54 2964.54 2964.54 2964.54 2964.54 2964.54 2964.54 2019-05-15 3145.40 3145.40 3145.40 3145.40 3145.40 3145.40 3145.40 3145.40 3145.40 2019-05-16 3429.96 3429.96 3433.63 3441.44 3462.38 3476.39 3492.49 3515.19 3582.73 2019-05-17 3539.15 3564.36 3623.21 3648.18 3668.42 3718.55 3819.05 3914.02 4292.00 2019-05-18 3538.14 3570.34 3600.64 3643.37 3723.01 3831.32 4040.96 4269.49 4835.80 2019-05-19 3268.11 3291.57 3319.23 3369.89 3468.18 3565.88 3725.31 3905.82 4484.91 2019-05-20 2805.31 2850.75 2927.25 2946.70 3014.59 3079.19 3147.29 3462.72 4091.07 2019-05-21 2565.64 2604.66 2662.91 2730.71 2857.60 2941.76 3027.21 3111.35 3743.34 2019-05-22 2524.44 2707.67 2810.05 2915.12 2952.54 3010.36 3066.46 3279.82 3582.42 2019-05-23 2561.45 2666.03 2728.62 2825.70 2984.95 3077.33 3193.79 3422.67 3637.17 2019-05-24 2398.56 2489.55 2625.38 2746.05 2808.88 3052.58 3146.84 3287.97 3625.01 2019-05-25 2280.64 2446.95 2670.43 2757.63 2839.20 2931.00 2982.55 3250.57 3858.92 2019-05-26 2096.89 2439.05 2494.54 2698.95 2816.50 2867.53 2974.22 3174.52 3964.25 2019-05-27 2051.40 2421.90 2497.73 2576.46 2721.61 2835.54 3029.60 3234.60 3733.38 2019-05-28 2218.47 2419.19 2474.93 2652.06 2773.94 2853.80 3042.95 3257.52 3638.93 2019-05-29 2089.21 2357.48 2482.52 2701.55 2774.68 2949.81 3110.52 3253.76 3539.41 2019-05-30 1963.94 2499.15 2592.89 2672.36 2765.76 3016.07 3161.65 3284.45 3513.17 2019-05-31 2120.47 2259.29 2519.38 2711.68 2898.53 2989.00 3086.57 3258.38 3729.08 2019-06-01 1924.16 2221.22 2433.82 2526.58 2623.41 2826.65 3080.06 3292.98 3758.40 2019-06-02 2013.10 2205.61 2374.14 2433.06 2606.59 2729.70 3062.66 3276.74 3648.21 2019-06-03 2028.00 2254.94 2373.04 2505.91 2628.11 2963.26 3109.06 3180.05 3531.61 2019-06-04 2018.92 2333.68 2400.47 2565.10 2752.53 2830.38 3080.50 3209.40 3392.36 2019-06-05 2066.87 2268.07 2446.79 2640.73 2778.89 2876.00 2978.53 3030.25 3145.19 2019-06-06 2013.94 2229.53 2462.31 2567.31 2727.75 2798.11 2992.32 3071.03 3141.53 2019-06-07 1897.09 2056.72 2337.63 2459.30 2644.19 2866.69 2965.51 3077.26 3219.94 2019-06-08 1790.91 1991.20 2219.85 2438.15 2569.34 2806.77 2916.65 3017.39 3324.78 2019-06-09 1814.52 1929.96 2053.73 2451.40 2541.41 2713.41 2823.00 3021.96 3198.26 2019-06-10 1724.98 1900.36 2161.31 2283.17 2384.56 2476.81 2645.43 2886.88 3206.65 2019-06-11 1558.30 1834.27 2093.79 2234.48 2302.41 2457.04 2543.91 2804.47 3128.21 2019-06-12 1610.42 1834.15 2072.35 2155.22 2247.21 2382.77 2541.60 2570.29 2979.83 2019-06-13 1783.03 1813.75 1966.06 2046.75 2180.08 2228.27 2450.16 2590.02 2995.06 2019-06-14 1667.75 1770.89 1893.82 1939.40 2053.74 2123.85 2330.75 2436.58 2856.09 2019-06-15 1545.21 1647.43 1758.53 1893.72 2051.38 2130.56 2246.56 2361.44 2823.78 2019-06-16 1422.48 1574.86 1680.97 1967.19 2059.13 2071.42 2153.49 2364.89 2724.43 2019-06-17 1355.42 1538.21 1661.14 1785.51 1953.22 1983.40 2189.96 2298.83 2590.94 2019-06-18 1375.59 1453.03 1587.87 1698.90 1810.73 1912.63 1978.23 2324.60 2521.78 2019-06-19 1330.90 1410.11 1527.98 1605.37 1790.14 1841.45 1968.91 2253.78 2390.78 2019-06-20 1240.78 1293.25 1412.32 1552.78 1691.77 1835.48 2037.71 2166.02 2434.50 2019-06-21 1141.33 1264.82 1337.33 1530.97 1690.68 1718.95 2055.03 2200.24 2389.50 2019-06-22 1088.00 1169.52 1278.54 1441.87 1526.30 1705.76 1956.22 2087.54 2242.11 2019-06-23 979.58 1054.77 1255.81 1393.46 1505.83 1703.52 1842.05 1927.78 2149.66 2019-06-24 881.68 940.10 1169.30 1312.34 1397.72 1499.95 1738.56 1847.54 2087.46 2019-06-25 800.69 867.43 1070.24 1155.89 1322.75 1426.43 1613.83 1818.29 2062.70 2019-06-26 732.50 828.22 971.97 1105.26 1185.52 1398.34 1508.34 1743.14 1947.27 2019-06-27 678.60 833.44 891.46 1035.75 1246.94 1339.46 1573.53 1720.64 2079.15 2019-06-28 630.68 722.80 788.71 964.27 1053.13 1262.41 1435.98 1540.30 2050.94 2019-06-29 589.92 655.84 727.16 849.32 1029.99 1177.76 1353.17 1460.72 1918.68 2019-06-30 554.57 606.88 676.13 773.74 970.80 1149.29 1239.24 1288.02 1830.71 2019-07-01 522.92 571.30 632.98 723.54 876.12 1000.46 1116.08 1309.13 1559.74 2019-07-02 493.99 533.93 594.39 678.04 832.05 958.83 1039.17 1129.28 1419.41 2019-07-03 467.28 502.07 554.81 634.54 742.53 879.34 939.01 1077.74 1190.36 2019-07-04 442.45 478.21 520.93 594.81 680.91 760.19 828.78 924.59 1073.61 2019-07-05 419.35 450.85 490.92 568.49 629.50 679.66 749.83 839.61 982.68 2019-07-06 397.78 424.86 463.75 517.91 571.30 623.01 685.27 772.26 888.18 2019-07-07 382.10 406.38 450.26 503.10 558.00 603.38 634.78 716.49 914.76 2019-07-08 361.02 385.63 426.55 484.38 526.05 567.01 617.15 666.08 841.46 2019-07-09 345.06 372.58 409.59 456.90 502.13 529.03 558.18 623.42 780.79 2019-07-10 328.31 353.82 387.80 436.95 474.69 511.38 562.84 639.20 763.74 2019-07-11 312.55 336.33 364.86 409.01 462.37 514.98 560.88 639.74 819.19 2019-07-12 297.63 319.08 346.09 388.17 437.23 492.15 554.13 575.32 780.43 2019-07-13 283.85 300.26 342.83 378.44 422.07 465.51 525.15 572.57 734.03 2019-07-14 274.80 287.81 321.30 359.23 392.57 442.35 483.40 515.40 832.36 2019-07-15 265.75 292.54 307.52 332.89 372.49 417.64 455.35 472.73 767.32 2019-07-16 254.99 280.39 307.87 333.59 375.07 396.02 433.52 455.48 632.77 2019-07-17 243.97 268.33 297.70 328.16 356.48 375.38 407.24 467.11 665.89 2019-07-18 233.83 260.74 284.03 302.34 336.54 349.99 383.96 405.38 640.53 2019-07-19 224.34 244.72 250.98 279.81 309.29 331.01 347.16 383.06 633.94 2019-07-20 215.46 231.48 240.35 262.00 294.38 315.10 346.79 388.60 569.59 2019-07-21 207.13 222.78 232.35 256.48 295.74 319.33 343.99 409.63 510.58 2019-07-22 199.38 213.78 232.07 260.74 282.21 315.43 332.22 363.49 493.38 2019-07-23 192.80 207.89 226.09 261.59 283.13 311.39 336.23 422.92 547.93 2019-07-24 191.65 205.67 223.01 250.70 278.39 296.45 322.46 397.37 453.77 2019-07-25 191.07 203.24 224.49 247.53 259.71 278.32 317.51 355.72 414.48 2019-07-26 186.03 195.56 232.03 243.13 249.38 265.80 340.74 429.93 568.11 2019-07-27 178.08 196.16 219.37 235.18 248.71 296.88 383.48 482.43 603.66 2019-07-28 172.04 188.08 210.36 231.29 246.26 277.82 347.22 423.80 521.16 2019-07-29 163.52 179.33 191.44 232.35 252.11 318.19 359.25 386.04 475.93 2019-07-30 160.76 177.10 221.81 235.50 265.10 297.97 324.65 348.98 415.93 2019-07-31 155.45 170.80 211.31 225.83 241.76 305.86 325.49 390.12 572.56