Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2019-05-13 - 2019-07-31 Simulation date: 2019-05-13 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2019-05-13 2190.07 2190.07 2190.07 2190.07 2190.07 2190.07 2190.07 2190.07 2190.07 2019-05-14 2299.31 2299.31 2299.31 2299.31 2299.31 2299.31 2299.31 2299.31 2299.31 2019-05-15 2670.58 2670.58 2670.58 2670.58 2670.58 2670.58 2670.58 2670.58 2670.58 2019-05-16 3184.63 3184.63 3184.63 3184.63 3184.63 3184.63 3184.63 3184.63 3184.63 2019-05-17 3470.18 3470.18 3470.18 3470.18 3470.18 3470.18 3470.18 3470.18 3470.18 2019-05-18 3580.28 3580.28 3580.28 3580.28 3580.28 3580.28 3580.28 3580.28 3580.28 2019-05-19 2928.59 2928.59 2928.59 2928.59 2928.59 2929.23 2929.71 2940.26 3002.11 2019-05-20 2328.05 2328.05 2328.05 2330.86 2348.12 2353.15 2374.71 2417.61 2525.36 2019-05-21 2100.74 2101.14 2115.23 2130.83 2152.04 2213.44 2272.44 2285.33 2842.38 2019-05-22 1998.81 2002.79 2033.80 2057.80 2091.69 2115.27 2162.00 2326.54 3097.26 2019-05-23 1867.19 1872.19 1908.85 1942.70 1953.45 2001.51 2079.07 2424.29 2792.43 2019-05-24 1878.99 1892.67 1920.19 1945.60 2012.16 2073.80 2181.39 2368.87 2748.92 2019-05-25 1902.16 1957.65 2058.44 2220.30 2348.43 2422.68 2535.12 2667.42 2723.33 2019-05-26 1698.51 2006.47 2090.87 2316.37 2383.74 2426.01 2593.22 2640.81 3233.17 2019-05-27 1827.18 2042.38 2161.77 2229.94 2360.99 2544.25 2696.61 2833.54 3237.65 2019-05-28 1973.84 2116.94 2190.60 2280.68 2422.95 2646.32 2690.45 2881.06 3172.18 2019-05-29 1887.24 2046.97 2271.06 2372.43 2536.73 2643.67 2772.34 2948.37 3166.02 2019-05-30 1732.47 2218.00 2371.48 2420.57 2500.13 2674.32 2959.71 3082.91 3250.93 2019-05-31 1880.91 2074.57 2288.14 2386.59 2627.75 2755.38 2927.87 3012.25 3403.54 2019-06-01 1732.07 2032.31 2167.30 2342.27 2461.66 2673.69 2750.10 3135.23 3549.82 2019-06-02 1871.83 2044.19 2213.56 2256.13 2359.16 2543.44 2764.61 3081.14 3558.67 2019-06-03 1860.97 2131.71 2251.02 2347.88 2484.16 2713.92 2903.53 3024.59 3342.15 2019-06-04 1876.81 2201.21 2308.86 2419.08 2538.93 2674.62 2959.85 3122.19 3225.70 2019-06-05 1952.87 2118.40 2318.28 2518.87 2586.76 2714.41 2840.92 2975.79 3058.20 2019-06-06 1848.59 2080.80 2342.64 2469.08 2597.50 2790.04 2876.92 2992.27 3082.80 2019-06-07 1823.17 1900.25 2242.42 2377.78 2667.21 2750.16 2828.28 3002.26 3110.87 2019-06-08 1668.69 1870.57 2146.17 2340.78 2530.87 2689.14 2815.68 2953.57 3191.58 2019-06-09 1683.64 1881.91 2003.72 2364.81 2495.90 2633.55 2782.35 2850.63 3100.51 2019-06-10 1662.58 1817.55 1997.74 2309.70 2364.88 2408.06 2528.18 2876.14 2994.26 2019-06-11 1521.66 1804.45 2024.19 2236.33 2275.73 2401.82 2512.17 2807.87 2902.03 2019-06-12 1511.52 1778.81 2033.89 2129.34 2174.28 2290.19 2457.13 2572.12 2812.86 2019-06-13 1706.24 1817.07 1892.28 2057.30 2119.08 2173.69 2374.48 2567.39 2795.28 2019-06-14 1664.43 1777.11 1836.76 1906.11 1957.23 2140.73 2291.27 2433.17 2740.02 2019-06-15 1499.09 1638.98 1755.70 1846.16 2001.19 2126.28 2176.73 2324.58 2718.96 2019-06-16 1389.19 1581.51 1748.79 1912.64 2000.39 2069.32 2158.11 2242.79 2573.18 2019-06-17 1366.06 1507.82 1694.61 1776.39 1896.04 1987.90 2103.68 2218.25 2456.32 2019-06-18 1393.41 1502.35 1541.43 1714.64 1816.10 1861.98 1966.91 2234.48 2427.74 2019-06-19 1333.19 1440.25 1497.14 1613.88 1725.98 1839.28 1936.89 2101.26 2358.57 2019-06-20 1226.21 1339.80 1421.23 1540.19 1756.47 1806.56 1974.89 2124.10 2349.57 2019-06-21 1152.51 1285.98 1314.99 1516.92 1621.67 1845.75 1995.34 2155.61 2256.80 2019-06-22 1115.21 1193.97 1294.34 1459.27 1549.86 1719.65 1907.88 2021.32 2204.35 2019-06-23 978.16 1069.63 1242.52 1365.92 1520.42 1698.72 1756.62 1899.19 2104.64 2019-06-24 878.73 969.08 1161.66 1269.35 1370.92 1541.20 1651.10 1765.04 2123.74 2019-06-25 799.51 895.38 1080.45 1211.30 1286.34 1404.08 1552.88 1705.23 2080.88 2019-06-26 730.61 857.12 990.25 1126.05 1202.35 1393.46 1515.24 1628.21 1949.98 2019-06-27 672.92 852.99 910.47 1056.55 1227.38 1295.25 1517.86 1685.25 2095.33 2019-06-28 626.02 725.72 822.37 977.83 1132.60 1199.14 1302.82 1531.17 1920.10 2019-06-29 586.38 662.45 760.83 883.27 999.85 1175.76 1335.81 1493.53 1727.83 2019-06-30 551.67 613.31 703.08 816.45 894.50 1120.23 1219.14 1365.08 1642.16 2019-07-01 520.31 572.24 659.24 753.30 872.08 1015.15 1115.92 1235.25 1394.83 2019-07-02 491.52 537.25 612.14 698.73 769.70 941.06 1041.11 1105.48 1363.85 2019-07-03 464.89 506.30 572.95 649.88 734.20 873.57 940.35 1037.73 1182.64 2019-07-04 440.09 478.15 532.52 602.84 655.67 759.18 814.87 888.58 1033.10 2019-07-05 416.95 452.22 498.75 558.56 617.41 668.80 755.05 800.63 983.99 2019-07-06 395.41 428.18 470.70 516.79 555.44 617.86 693.87 725.54 899.85 2019-07-07 375.25 409.91 463.35 505.15 521.20 594.27 646.80 673.93 911.36 2019-07-08 356.22 384.79 434.41 476.41 518.89 556.57 610.67 636.74 798.48 2019-07-09 338.48 372.98 424.38 449.39 507.28 523.69 567.79 586.60 744.70 2019-07-10 321.95 354.07 403.96 434.82 476.05 515.13 548.76 610.96 769.32 2019-07-11 306.37 336.39 373.95 402.13 454.25 507.69 550.19 612.63 805.90 2019-07-12 291.87 318.91 361.77 384.47 429.73 482.91 543.61 584.27 740.12 2019-07-13 278.30 301.59 347.84 369.86 414.90 459.15 528.32 560.42 700.08 2019-07-14 272.76 285.83 329.17 351.04 392.94 433.59 467.06 505.95 821.28 2019-07-15 260.38 287.41 316.42 333.47 372.49 410.18 439.19 476.05 734.75 2019-07-16 251.10 282.96 300.71 331.28 383.11 392.09 427.23 450.91 602.72 2019-07-17 241.71 272.18 291.37 332.19 361.71 368.90 375.66 466.03 650.96 2019-07-18 231.54 264.23 280.72 299.89 338.95 346.00 353.74 408.30 612.36 2019-07-19 222.01 245.27 258.46 273.67 308.75 329.07 341.70 385.61 614.37 2019-07-20 213.09 234.51 243.45 256.51 293.66 314.62 325.46 388.68 529.14 2019-07-21 204.12 224.73 236.00 250.27 283.87 301.50 346.71 402.85 499.61 2019-07-22 195.65 215.59 230.33 262.46 286.33 294.26 332.50 358.84 467.16 2019-07-23 188.28 207.63 222.14 256.54 274.73 313.19 337.00 397.06 546.22 2019-07-24 187.81 207.01 224.44 245.81 267.03 303.00 321.05 384.38 441.31 2019-07-25 191.02 201.95 226.04 246.17 255.11 278.60 311.28 354.58 417.80 2019-07-26 182.33 195.30 225.00 242.43 244.10 264.93 330.16 400.78 572.55 2019-07-27 174.35 188.74 216.01 232.08 258.81 295.01 373.41 505.67 595.04 2019-07-28 168.30 180.86 206.31 225.50 253.48 272.86 338.87 435.43 518.64 2019-07-29 160.51 174.93 196.80 229.29 254.53 301.05 356.89 385.43 449.54 2019-07-30 157.97 185.05 220.59 236.84 259.03 289.74 318.41 341.13 415.37 2019-07-31 152.67 177.17 212.73 219.15 240.40 292.47 328.98 388.80 564.66