Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2019-05-14 - 2019-07-31 Simulation date: 2019-05-14 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2019-05-14 2681.24 2681.24 2681.24 2681.24 2681.24 2681.24 2681.24 2681.24 2681.24 2019-05-15 2898.10 2898.10 2898.10 2898.10 2898.10 2898.10 2898.10 2898.10 2898.10 2019-05-16 3420.41 3420.41 3420.41 3420.41 3420.41 3420.41 3420.41 3420.41 3420.41 2019-05-17 3713.87 3713.87 3713.87 3713.87 3713.87 3713.87 3713.87 3713.87 3713.87 2019-05-18 3517.99 3517.99 3517.99 3517.99 3517.99 3517.99 3517.99 3517.99 3517.99 2019-05-19 2921.81 2921.81 2921.81 2921.81 2921.81 2921.81 2921.81 2921.81 2921.81 2019-05-20 2418.84 2418.84 2418.84 2418.84 2420.21 2446.28 2456.35 2491.93 2529.50 2019-05-21 2152.14 2152.14 2154.97 2171.30 2195.84 2309.81 2363.71 2414.43 2551.44 2019-05-22 2010.40 2010.40 2040.66 2069.07 2104.95 2139.37 2176.53 2250.07 2872.42 2019-05-23 1866.77 1870.55 1907.52 1927.63 1950.24 1991.58 2033.99 2169.84 2706.22 2019-05-24 1935.18 1946.66 1963.13 2000.92 2042.75 2099.05 2126.98 2310.99 2538.31 2019-05-25 2006.02 2021.91 2050.21 2085.99 2115.64 2154.73 2254.65 2413.52 2533.15 2019-05-26 1880.08 2059.64 2099.98 2164.73 2261.25 2347.71 2382.29 2630.24 2783.74 2019-05-27 1927.17 2024.14 2109.55 2185.24 2264.90 2430.31 2577.14 2793.38 2994.71 2019-05-28 1962.88 2100.52 2184.59 2301.37 2324.76 2531.69 2645.03 2780.85 3053.45 2019-05-29 1855.15 2026.92 2301.13 2367.42 2494.20 2544.09 2731.69 2835.70 3072.31 2019-05-30 1688.68 2207.30 2356.20 2406.03 2485.68 2664.86 2744.69 3005.85 3181.75 2019-05-31 1874.99 2047.77 2274.74 2400.42 2613.30 2667.39 2770.50 2959.69 3330.04 2019-06-01 1697.08 2017.49 2156.58 2280.53 2384.69 2621.44 2740.78 3088.14 3492.99 2019-06-02 1806.72 2022.50 2168.16 2216.06 2336.66 2516.59 2712.74 3035.39 3546.72 2019-06-03 1800.13 2096.01 2228.13 2306.49 2462.24 2662.19 2870.51 2964.27 3311.17 2019-06-04 1783.58 2177.46 2277.82 2371.18 2484.83 2592.14 2922.82 3078.02 3193.67 2019-06-05 1929.39 2084.68 2261.44 2383.33 2577.62 2677.25 2783.77 2929.23 3028.51 2019-06-06 1822.33 2033.07 2279.40 2424.76 2507.60 2718.08 2820.70 2904.10 3035.34 2019-06-07 1791.95 1867.04 2219.85 2320.85 2607.97 2674.07 2780.52 2875.52 3004.51 2019-06-08 1646.56 1821.59 2130.64 2294.41 2489.71 2619.21 2726.84 2872.16 3082.23 2019-06-09 1656.45 1844.05 1992.67 2339.01 2419.85 2574.52 2721.08 2779.42 2982.71 2019-06-10 1631.20 1780.39 1983.10 2243.55 2306.01 2369.19 2485.70 2638.63 2888.87 2019-06-11 1501.59 1781.01 1986.95 2137.43 2212.67 2366.97 2440.19 2543.06 2816.67 2019-06-12 1494.52 1771.90 1987.90 2064.26 2130.19 2234.42 2418.93 2528.40 2681.22 2019-06-13 1673.38 1789.51 1850.13 1996.61 2101.79 2127.59 2310.31 2437.10 2667.62 2019-06-14 1598.24 1749.35 1812.06 1842.60 1895.48 2086.75 2223.54 2306.03 2673.22 2019-06-15 1492.16 1642.21 1684.27 1781.93 1907.85 2082.77 2125.05 2271.82 2640.68 2019-06-16 1369.29 1566.38 1728.25 1855.86 1950.88 1980.62 2085.48 2202.87 2517.12 2019-06-17 1373.44 1481.34 1651.52 1745.64 1841.43 1927.44 2033.96 2167.49 2379.92 2019-06-18 1346.13 1473.69 1523.77 1682.90 1782.33 1834.11 1912.30 2137.55 2316.68 2019-06-19 1286.50 1433.02 1488.92 1573.41 1729.90 1796.86 1875.64 2042.89 2264.54 2019-06-20 1207.91 1333.48 1385.89 1483.57 1731.29 1794.88 1912.36 2051.79 2222.28 2019-06-21 1157.53 1263.42 1276.53 1459.44 1574.00 1808.92 1914.70 2059.52 2193.13 2019-06-22 1114.01 1180.58 1261.66 1414.73 1505.27 1669.80 1773.34 1949.77 2171.33 2019-06-23 986.57 1063.83 1207.57 1338.61 1473.30 1655.87 1696.69 1845.52 2054.58 2019-06-24 887.01 963.86 1143.17 1256.92 1330.32 1479.05 1600.07 1701.63 2085.54 2019-06-25 808.61 889.08 1071.01 1191.02 1240.98 1339.38 1481.08 1653.43 2015.55 2019-06-26 739.62 844.54 972.05 1102.01 1198.06 1280.71 1464.13 1574.44 1887.32 2019-06-27 677.64 849.69 913.78 1043.73 1181.47 1227.32 1401.59 1645.27 2055.56 2019-06-28 628.56 725.74 830.07 943.84 1039.94 1146.31 1277.13 1482.63 1825.52 2019-06-29 587.81 653.28 767.83 860.53 973.12 1124.19 1296.08 1476.56 1635.07 2019-06-30 552.47 604.92 709.88 774.22 912.45 1077.43 1177.85 1359.09 1555.13 2019-07-01 520.82 563.73 659.78 719.99 842.69 985.15 1068.57 1231.59 1349.02 2019-07-02 491.90 529.14 609.20 670.65 744.84 881.75 1006.76 1111.47 1298.12 2019-07-03 465.20 498.65 569.22 624.52 713.00 831.40 920.93 1001.97 1134.47 2019-07-04 440.39 470.99 536.80 587.61 636.68 720.94 756.33 868.70 996.96 2019-07-05 417.25 445.55 498.78 546.37 605.38 645.28 701.04 783.08 958.57 2019-07-06 395.68 421.96 466.91 509.90 539.83 603.30 638.98 712.87 880.08 2019-07-07 375.54 401.67 449.31 494.98 508.77 570.99 613.79 669.62 877.85 2019-07-08 356.55 379.33 421.64 467.68 504.67 531.86 599.07 622.06 770.03 2019-07-09 338.79 366.74 412.08 441.71 470.89 504.95 551.67 578.38 718.82 2019-07-10 322.26 348.34 390.26 424.28 449.66 492.96 545.32 598.79 750.47 2019-07-11 306.69 331.18 370.19 395.91 433.77 486.62 541.16 598.72 801.53 2019-07-12 292.18 313.78 352.30 375.46 410.34 476.08 528.56 591.25 728.44 2019-07-13 278.61 296.92 341.08 361.01 398.58 454.10 510.02 539.44 678.31 2019-07-14 272.68 282.20 320.96 342.76 389.05 422.37 448.60 495.56 807.26 2019-07-15 260.31 286.04 308.64 325.73 358.48 400.63 426.35 467.12 691.82 2019-07-16 251.04 278.93 293.85 319.67 369.78 384.85 415.39 442.28 588.94 2019-07-17 240.77 268.26 288.09 319.09 347.20 357.35 371.52 456.01 639.89 2019-07-18 230.67 259.37 279.54 292.75 319.40 332.28 351.27 405.28 595.45 2019-07-19 221.21 243.21 252.88 268.30 293.25 314.35 337.68 382.83 586.10 2019-07-20 212.35 232.92 240.52 253.68 279.60 301.24 321.38 382.84 503.95 2019-07-21 204.06 223.90 231.69 245.02 267.32 295.37 341.06 389.23 489.12 2019-07-22 195.67 215.24 228.23 253.90 271.64 289.70 329.47 355.69 451.17 2019-07-23 188.31 206.76 222.17 243.76 268.54 310.03 331.21 386.57 539.39 2019-07-24 185.67 205.18 224.64 233.33 261.96 298.66 314.81 374.45 420.76 2019-07-25 188.58 200.49 223.00 239.34 251.38 272.38 305.55 348.07 401.88 2019-07-26 181.11 193.97 214.61 234.67 241.80 260.73 326.38 392.46 569.74 2019-07-27 173.91 186.54 213.31 225.13 254.38 293.60 355.32 500.85 588.66 2019-07-28 168.02 178.61 201.90 220.06 252.60 267.61 333.87 434.70 508.81 2019-07-29 159.71 172.69 192.69 223.62 250.74 296.36 354.82 377.62 441.84 2019-07-30 156.05 184.03 215.36 235.10 254.47 284.12 308.53 335.68 412.58 2019-07-31 150.90 177.10 204.37 216.43 239.42 281.67 323.07 387.00 561.27