Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2019-05-19 - 2019-07-31 Simulation date: 2019-05-19 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2019-05-19 3362.51 3362.51 3362.51 3362.51 3362.51 3362.51 3362.51 3362.51 3362.51 2019-05-20 2748.14 2748.14 2748.14 2748.14 2748.14 2748.14 2748.14 2748.14 2748.14 2019-05-21 2234.34 2234.34 2234.34 2234.34 2234.34 2234.34 2234.34 2234.34 2234.34 2019-05-22 1984.61 1984.61 1984.61 1984.61 1984.61 1984.61 1984.61 1984.61 1984.61 2019-05-23 1878.31 1878.31 1878.31 1878.31 1878.31 1878.31 1878.31 1878.31 1878.31 2019-05-24 1890.80 1890.80 1890.80 1890.80 1890.80 1890.80 1890.80 1890.80 1890.80 2019-05-25 1843.46 1843.46 1843.46 1843.46 1843.49 1844.97 1871.98 1873.90 1909.07 2019-05-26 1918.84 1918.85 1920.91 1940.97 1959.83 2010.70 2122.16 2322.83 2442.00 2019-05-27 1966.86 1980.09 2041.89 2057.91 2071.67 2140.24 2314.59 2467.02 3211.34 2019-05-28 2132.49 2165.33 2183.67 2235.77 2292.72 2386.25 2559.51 2720.78 3346.96 2019-05-29 2096.34 2125.12 2153.82 2188.89 2315.36 2355.24 2437.71 2651.09 2951.74 2019-05-30 2053.29 2083.97 2107.00 2176.94 2265.28 2287.53 2385.71 2481.00 2795.28 2019-05-31 1974.50 2230.41 2357.12 2404.47 2467.78 2507.57 2668.83 2880.05 3007.63 2019-06-01 1930.74 2058.63 2225.30 2374.81 2396.87 2641.53 2824.80 3255.40 3567.49 2019-06-02 1907.59 2140.65 2305.93 2380.87 2507.17 2710.56 2942.23 3359.06 3937.07 2019-06-03 2082.72 2301.02 2390.28 2505.57 2650.20 2907.07 3168.11 3330.56 3881.22 2019-06-04 2092.34 2363.77 2550.74 2661.15 2756.37 2889.96 3353.16 3538.80 3745.01 2019-06-05 2169.10 2379.65 2591.76 2658.36 2927.52 3011.06 3354.79 3511.11 3746.10 2019-06-06 2136.26 2349.54 2564.52 2776.09 3021.36 3158.79 3372.73 3559.40 3688.91 2019-06-07 2098.64 2224.41 2575.35 2910.52 3082.53 3201.77 3325.19 3686.35 3903.23 2019-06-08 1991.53 2182.64 2527.99 2786.45 3153.75 3310.63 3459.40 3549.07 3970.45 2019-06-09 2054.16 2172.92 2578.81 2814.41 3111.07 3275.22 3406.33 3492.50 3878.50 2019-06-10 2012.92 2191.21 2522.89 2668.42 3008.47 3098.70 3241.73 3470.01 3791.35 2019-06-11 1818.77 2183.20 2508.38 2662.34 2842.28 2937.69 3192.14 3435.53 3644.34 2019-06-12 1870.76 2303.33 2486.00 2637.83 2711.21 2814.02 2978.87 3293.96 3510.65 2019-06-13 2127.27 2285.51 2432.00 2481.11 2707.76 2824.24 2923.64 3190.58 3343.70 2019-06-14 2035.80 2331.18 2388.61 2478.62 2589.24 2780.95 2851.79 3011.63 3200.28 2019-06-15 1984.10 2205.03 2292.88 2379.42 2551.69 2691.11 2855.92 2956.89 3111.56 2019-06-16 1789.51 2191.62 2287.27 2375.91 2494.67 2708.55 2784.44 2905.37 3031.49 2019-06-17 1824.88 2091.63 2228.40 2347.73 2475.42 2599.11 2697.33 2799.37 2987.38 2019-06-18 1933.41 2020.76 2092.50 2233.35 2267.15 2512.20 2720.88 2776.69 2828.79 2019-06-19 1879.03 2017.00 2090.83 2198.37 2250.19 2406.20 2530.40 2608.11 2870.63 2019-06-20 1822.51 1954.69 2001.65 2073.30 2245.92 2417.12 2550.66 2590.54 2845.98 2019-06-21 1748.58 1787.74 1889.72 2059.61 2190.12 2295.19 2583.85 2681.65 2709.91 2019-06-22 1657.29 1735.04 1810.91 1991.76 2110.19 2215.12 2465.49 2591.72 2695.11 2019-06-23 1575.97 1625.18 1740.93 1933.93 2041.91 2222.49 2296.33 2437.33 2640.41 2019-06-24 1424.88 1532.75 1663.84 1774.99 1912.48 2017.17 2176.08 2306.20 2577.02 2019-06-25 1334.03 1422.58 1584.42 1715.58 1824.48 1893.19 2014.28 2281.08 2463.89 2019-06-26 1284.90 1371.09 1521.27 1659.89 1775.43 1837.93 1912.02 2210.64 2350.98 2019-06-27 1161.44 1297.59 1460.68 1619.28 1682.84 1755.22 1982.14 2096.85 2474.60 2019-06-28 1016.98 1134.44 1254.82 1453.02 1545.33 1647.10 1818.56 1913.62 2239.84 2019-06-29 910.78 1032.32 1075.70 1383.00 1505.94 1554.52 1702.68 1931.95 2160.14 2019-06-30 831.14 933.62 1008.62 1227.52 1385.91 1510.00 1668.81 1829.26 2078.94 2019-07-01 764.44 849.97 1047.23 1129.64 1246.09 1411.49 1542.84 1699.72 1918.93 2019-07-02 707.81 781.48 875.58 1072.07 1185.13 1301.32 1418.64 1615.75 1815.99 2019-07-03 658.75 736.34 813.37 980.22 1063.30 1199.54 1410.77 1466.07 1669.34 2019-07-04 616.62 685.71 797.07 900.01 985.27 1060.77 1138.50 1294.48 1508.50 2019-07-05 579.53 644.55 694.63 803.63 927.39 978.04 1032.78 1191.19 1352.61 2019-07-06 546.13 597.63 631.22 739.66 813.43 895.53 981.25 1122.60 1265.13 2019-07-07 530.22 552.86 633.89 689.71 731.26 810.36 909.52 1103.78 1184.59 2019-07-08 490.48 518.28 595.23 656.48 705.79 729.31 813.30 964.31 1099.39 2019-07-09 475.04 496.59 582.69 606.00 654.78 704.43 751.54 878.58 1013.28 2019-07-10 449.57 468.85 547.09 569.88 609.36 652.13 790.35 930.82 1038.98 2019-07-11 426.21 443.48 501.79 538.15 572.08 615.71 739.56 840.16 1086.99 2019-07-12 405.18 418.68 476.57 517.90 537.61 600.94 737.33 778.59 977.13 2019-07-13 383.56 391.99 456.56 489.29 506.86 638.62 686.68 718.34 887.04 2019-07-14 366.08 377.63 424.79 462.67 478.76 568.40 631.64 665.91 942.92 2019-07-15 349.82 370.97 406.20 437.94 452.77 531.95 585.61 637.03 850.72 2019-07-16 334.19 351.78 399.38 421.07 447.63 521.59 548.04 569.17 700.13 2019-07-17 319.98 345.55 388.59 402.12 423.83 479.21 517.12 580.30 746.62 2019-07-18 305.18 341.17 365.54 376.45 401.80 438.30 472.51 522.04 681.46 2019-07-19 291.07 310.16 329.99 352.27 366.41 393.50 453.71 492.22 728.79 2019-07-20 277.87 288.60 310.54 332.08 348.39 372.74 436.34 487.92 646.37 2019-07-21 265.47 276.78 300.06 322.14 340.15 405.14 432.39 480.81 589.77 2019-07-22 253.95 275.27 298.05 316.69 342.51 382.57 402.62 426.78 559.45 2019-07-23 244.73 260.62 289.39 304.66 325.82 381.48 404.71 453.53 611.21 2019-07-24 234.33 259.10 281.95 293.22 310.24 379.01 394.44 421.61 520.15 2019-07-25 233.90 259.92 270.28 280.87 308.42 341.21 372.20 418.24 500.94 2019-07-26 223.54 248.58 262.90 279.81 305.81 339.40 375.52 492.45 650.83 2019-07-27 215.74 231.68 248.13 270.40 314.70 354.41 427.82 607.11 670.44 2019-07-28 204.40 226.71 235.28 264.95 316.63 327.77 399.88 495.42 571.60 2019-07-29 197.30 214.60 223.39 271.53 298.89 347.28 407.18 448.09 534.89 2019-07-30 188.79 218.69 250.16 281.81 299.45 341.65 376.28 404.71 476.83 2019-07-31 181.74 208.64 245.35 262.60 275.79 339.05 376.56 457.30 610.57