Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2019-05-21 - 2019-07-31 Simulation date: 2019-05-21 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2019-05-21 2088.14 2088.14 2088.14 2088.14 2088.14 2088.14 2088.14 2088.14 2088.14 2019-05-22 1801.86 1801.86 1801.86 1801.86 1801.86 1801.86 1801.86 1801.86 1801.86 2019-05-23 1650.83 1650.83 1650.83 1650.83 1650.83 1650.83 1650.83 1650.83 1650.83 2019-05-24 1787.42 1787.42 1787.42 1787.42 1787.42 1787.42 1787.42 1787.42 1787.42 2019-05-25 1732.98 1732.98 1732.98 1732.98 1732.98 1732.98 1732.98 1732.98 1732.98 2019-05-26 2069.82 2069.82 2069.82 2069.82 2069.82 2069.82 2069.82 2069.82 2069.82 2019-05-27 2383.84 2383.84 2383.84 2383.84 2383.85 2488.88 2505.46 2532.04 2707.51 2019-05-28 2448.47 2448.47 2448.47 2465.80 2496.54 2621.58 2683.22 2861.62 2996.78 2019-05-29 2098.64 2098.64 2101.31 2145.31 2183.62 2233.03 2277.42 2337.05 2486.43 2019-05-30 1854.13 1858.42 1884.33 1892.13 1937.07 1975.00 2017.86 2113.99 2195.90 2019-05-31 1928.53 1949.08 1973.51 1991.89 2030.90 2040.22 2083.04 2157.75 2230.19 2019-06-01 2199.73 2213.27 2249.98 2266.53 2294.44 2341.67 2367.94 2423.61 2541.15 2019-06-02 2211.35 2277.38 2396.98 2431.57 2481.67 2651.88 2736.72 2829.90 3138.33 2019-06-03 2120.00 2390.61 2455.63 2544.25 2635.36 2759.72 3102.65 3139.82 3430.53 2019-06-04 2159.01 2408.28 2551.07 2681.44 2756.54 2903.71 3284.42 3401.56 3650.80 2019-06-05 2222.34 2398.30 2500.73 2658.51 2949.51 3053.27 3331.53 3541.10 3680.51 2019-06-06 2160.71 2370.38 2558.20 2797.01 3010.11 3229.24 3339.51 3537.25 3840.75 2019-06-07 2106.37 2259.68 2619.51 2876.11 3100.80 3274.21 3420.13 3651.36 4064.49 2019-06-08 2088.96 2195.37 2546.07 2831.43 3114.64 3466.01 3514.18 3602.61 4172.02 2019-06-09 2126.69 2194.42 2625.31 2863.39 3034.37 3359.84 3553.03 3810.42 4143.14 2019-06-10 2037.97 2273.11 2479.51 2724.43 2996.46 3210.76 3487.08 3706.87 4060.19 2019-06-11 1889.97 2265.39 2452.02 2698.09 2991.28 3100.11 3226.98 3799.56 3912.25 2019-06-12 1926.72 2404.72 2542.75 2684.49 2773.69 2905.21 3080.93 3441.34 3766.25 2019-06-13 2192.14 2376.46 2535.00 2664.07 2837.29 2946.82 3084.51 3311.99 3493.39 2019-06-14 2084.10 2445.37 2535.97 2658.17 2690.95 2915.58 2989.07 3126.93 3243.12 2019-06-15 2036.27 2323.77 2417.33 2599.31 2736.61 2849.50 2976.57 3046.10 3166.38 2019-06-16 1902.12 2295.57 2483.00 2552.25 2636.66 2811.36 2893.01 3032.15 3093.27 2019-06-17 1924.83 2182.38 2416.09 2515.45 2583.12 2695.51 2856.63 2895.41 3058.99 2019-06-18 2036.16 2164.28 2283.44 2346.22 2429.50 2705.14 2764.80 2910.35 2946.84 2019-06-19 2023.71 2159.03 2226.62 2274.78 2361.60 2568.32 2687.07 2758.56 2971.83 2019-06-20 1935.66 2107.52 2209.28 2264.86 2341.08 2444.55 2724.12 2787.48 2956.83 2019-06-21 1902.95 1970.12 2048.38 2215.33 2316.38 2421.91 2680.27 2814.27 2923.95 2019-06-22 1822.81 1850.79 2004.07 2086.56 2208.59 2373.33 2587.04 2694.25 2860.77 2019-06-23 1677.75 1773.99 1929.36 2013.43 2182.29 2368.79 2415.91 2537.59 2801.85 2019-06-24 1534.81 1712.73 1793.65 1886.82 2037.56 2201.45 2287.65 2433.81 2728.56 2019-06-25 1412.20 1626.28 1687.04 1785.61 1962.22 2078.72 2146.60 2423.42 2591.68 2019-06-26 1419.94 1509.03 1637.17 1780.42 1883.55 1963.76 2021.43 2241.28 2483.73 2019-06-27 1327.05 1432.60 1549.89 1755.68 1827.19 1878.25 2048.15 2177.76 2575.28 2019-06-28 1160.04 1247.01 1367.18 1567.67 1674.63 1798.45 1895.43 2030.79 2311.06 2019-06-29 1033.56 1148.63 1261.80 1486.32 1578.18 1663.27 1831.45 2012.07 2289.23 2019-06-30 934.01 1035.11 1179.36 1340.74 1481.57 1623.28 1794.02 1973.24 2284.85 2019-07-01 861.17 948.44 1158.56 1200.31 1366.98 1552.74 1632.82 1827.85 2009.88 2019-07-02 795.12 845.51 1037.86 1159.20 1243.39 1398.38 1548.08 1701.24 1935.85 2019-07-03 734.49 793.55 942.22 1048.72 1179.46 1331.83 1450.59 1529.30 1831.61 2019-07-04 677.34 742.61 883.29 964.46 1069.32 1175.99 1234.61 1373.19 1708.40 2019-07-05 632.84 691.83 792.26 872.91 1004.13 1076.12 1108.79 1309.55 1559.62 2019-07-06 594.23 645.45 724.29 795.05 907.28 970.19 1068.99 1157.54 1452.80 2019-07-07 567.67 603.36 687.72 732.31 825.28 869.74 987.96 1137.35 1344.13 2019-07-08 534.94 562.42 638.13 703.18 761.50 789.45 890.41 1010.86 1297.92 2019-07-09 504.78 542.19 604.91 643.78 711.51 750.72 859.22 919.00 1220.99 2019-07-10 477.04 512.20 569.61 605.30 660.63 707.28 800.22 996.81 1188.08 2019-07-11 451.87 484.38 532.30 566.45 618.47 657.75 774.75 876.28 1190.60 2019-07-12 428.01 456.80 505.34 562.87 576.33 649.01 767.36 849.24 1122.04 2019-07-13 405.93 426.49 480.11 512.47 540.78 673.39 715.86 786.24 967.63 2019-07-14 385.30 411.66 449.56 484.09 514.10 603.47 676.00 725.93 959.02 2019-07-15 365.88 410.16 427.00 462.08 483.97 558.57 621.74 671.72 875.75 2019-07-16 350.73 385.90 407.88 452.12 482.50 547.43 587.04 595.53 749.19 2019-07-17 337.70 372.93 400.17 428.07 456.35 502.43 554.07 623.77 769.48 2019-07-18 329.52 358.68 380.92 400.15 424.02 454.48 512.38 586.82 697.41 2019-07-19 312.35 335.41 345.78 370.65 388.25 412.99 482.32 526.77 747.03 2019-07-20 295.50 312.07 325.05 349.69 368.44 391.50 461.40 521.67 668.31 2019-07-21 281.92 298.90 314.07 345.58 354.62 431.12 449.33 499.13 611.19 2019-07-22 269.25 291.32 319.76 333.02 354.35 400.04 426.96 452.82 575.98 2019-07-23 258.74 278.71 310.33 317.00 336.91 401.33 424.29 501.55 629.31 2019-07-24 247.61 271.12 296.30 303.72 324.39 386.95 420.80 440.06 548.76 2019-07-25 243.46 271.71 286.04 295.73 329.25 355.16 398.44 424.54 511.29 2019-07-26 231.76 260.89 273.57 292.82 320.00 368.87 391.16 501.02 670.15 2019-07-27 223.49 246.50 258.51 283.02 325.16 368.40 435.27 630.91 693.14 2019-07-28 216.00 234.15 246.36 273.50 324.71 341.49 406.03 515.99 585.52 2019-07-29 206.39 224.80 236.67 285.89 310.41 367.30 418.79 466.38 572.51 2019-07-30 195.97 231.54 259.68 291.25 308.05 368.09 390.74 417.48 493.07 2019-07-31 188.52 220.16 253.02 270.15 288.49 352.09 398.24 489.88 626.82