Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2019-05-24 - 2019-07-31 Simulation date: 2019-05-24 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2019-05-24 1583.90 1583.90 1583.90 1583.90 1583.90 1583.90 1583.90 1583.90 1583.90 2019-05-25 1640.44 1640.44 1640.44 1640.44 1640.44 1640.44 1640.44 1640.44 1640.44 2019-05-26 1611.91 1611.91 1611.91 1611.91 1611.91 1611.91 1611.91 1611.91 1611.91 2019-05-27 1875.76 1875.76 1875.76 1875.76 1875.76 1875.76 1875.76 1875.76 1875.76 2019-05-28 2132.61 2132.61 2132.61 2132.61 2132.61 2132.61 2132.61 2132.61 2132.61 2019-05-29 1944.26 1944.26 1944.26 1944.26 1944.26 1944.26 1944.26 1944.26 1944.26 2019-05-30 1721.16 1721.16 1721.16 1721.16 1722.65 1745.49 1747.34 1747.34 1765.89 2019-05-31 2269.05 2269.05 2269.05 2293.28 2386.22 2389.08 2415.40 2458.23 2536.44 2019-06-01 2758.91 2758.91 2766.25 2828.92 2845.13 2851.79 2913.80 3036.57 3281.47 2019-06-02 2870.75 2872.68 2913.09 2971.64 2984.50 3003.32 3133.39 3251.46 3537.13 2019-06-03 2647.52 2653.39 2677.17 2708.08 2742.23 2833.92 2901.55 3127.65 3405.36 2019-06-04 2723.57 2740.94 2779.76 2805.37 2823.29 2869.20 2913.34 3038.90 3184.67 2019-06-05 2567.95 2755.26 2877.36 2967.12 3023.31 3110.09 3228.27 3304.73 3383.09 2019-06-06 2428.88 2605.11 2768.93 2984.64 3137.71 3436.88 3510.26 3592.97 3800.67 2019-06-07 2275.25 2436.18 2858.42 3071.96 3272.64 3489.29 3720.51 3912.77 4234.65 2019-06-08 2201.17 2403.30 2783.95 3031.02 3411.36 3701.31 3834.15 4125.94 4816.23 2019-06-09 2282.87 2508.11 2766.10 3109.27 3309.35 3737.25 4068.49 4472.32 4752.16 2019-06-10 2296.31 2509.75 2689.72 3044.61 3269.98 3568.74 4232.50 4403.23 4895.31 2019-06-11 2081.02 2507.65 2656.42 3003.95 3392.04 3477.93 3830.40 4490.15 4970.93 2019-06-12 2081.64 2694.33 2750.81 2988.03 3166.38 3359.72 3504.82 4133.79 4630.91 2019-06-13 2414.16 2714.60 2875.76 2973.56 3231.80 3454.57 3590.02 3850.00 4180.21 2019-06-14 2321.53 2721.15 2874.09 3010.67 3177.94 3348.49 3505.87 3643.88 3885.96 2019-06-15 2254.38 2613.14 2782.77 3040.02 3190.52 3283.12 3364.16 3474.96 3762.24 2019-06-16 2171.75 2652.10 2776.71 3034.95 3140.80 3184.99 3337.93 3416.36 3690.58 2019-06-17 2196.42 2519.17 2794.83 2953.31 3019.55 3174.86 3253.41 3332.99 3523.86 2019-06-18 2356.83 2500.33 2637.17 2770.15 3043.77 3161.65 3181.94 3263.58 3413.98 2019-06-19 2437.30 2561.51 2598.15 2697.66 2775.01 3043.76 3098.62 3238.23 3388.04 2019-06-20 2374.14 2539.98 2580.65 2666.57 2753.15 2948.90 3114.54 3248.94 3398.33 2019-06-21 2269.72 2405.25 2577.32 2650.29 2714.74 2815.72 3110.31 3220.00 3343.38 2019-06-22 2178.30 2295.71 2434.06 2564.27 2614.41 2750.37 3018.83 3101.29 3314.80 2019-06-23 2049.53 2188.95 2324.33 2454.32 2587.58 2731.26 2815.29 2950.78 3224.74 2019-06-24 1918.79 2113.67 2193.47 2262.04 2440.29 2605.05 2682.79 2830.52 3120.22 2019-06-25 1793.27 2061.40 2114.14 2141.93 2257.25 2471.85 2585.35 2762.54 3060.47 2019-06-26 1771.61 1965.40 2002.12 2112.64 2203.79 2329.22 2464.85 2593.56 2882.16 2019-06-27 1691.77 1780.68 1924.45 2045.79 2164.86 2302.50 2372.98 2493.18 2896.03 2019-06-28 1479.83 1564.28 1732.15 1842.57 2034.83 2157.66 2211.59 2374.60 2657.09 2019-06-29 1342.97 1414.77 1598.20 1758.11 1895.28 2065.05 2174.65 2402.06 2578.35 2019-06-30 1233.98 1328.20 1516.97 1634.41 1770.95 1943.15 2134.51 2254.47 2660.09 2019-07-01 1126.78 1185.72 1482.91 1560.30 1622.85 1843.76 1960.55 2069.70 2398.94 2019-07-02 1032.55 1077.95 1272.30 1479.30 1581.51 1710.34 1884.86 1949.71 2300.51 2019-07-03 948.77 997.28 1176.04 1307.26 1439.68 1628.37 1717.76 1836.30 2228.46 2019-07-04 875.42 932.63 1114.73 1164.62 1332.95 1463.20 1545.55 1679.00 2030.21 2019-07-05 813.35 860.96 986.45 1096.71 1232.45 1359.36 1401.08 1615.88 1816.44 2019-07-06 756.47 782.18 887.88 933.37 1100.10 1229.63 1314.57 1425.98 1731.17 2019-07-07 706.08 722.61 833.27 940.99 1053.72 1120.59 1227.14 1425.86 1606.22 2019-07-08 656.93 674.80 772.13 859.97 963.93 1040.66 1090.28 1206.90 1620.12 2019-07-09 615.19 631.85 726.22 808.38 894.00 963.04 1023.67 1146.70 1457.09 2019-07-10 578.52 593.69 679.27 742.95 846.06 886.79 967.04 1169.01 1381.26 2019-07-11 545.06 563.35 637.21 701.86 781.14 814.82 899.32 1079.27 1409.45 2019-07-12 514.41 550.06 599.61 696.55 723.45 766.45 843.33 951.26 1403.29 2019-07-13 486.16 508.62 566.20 638.41 670.38 745.55 829.38 932.09 1150.94 2019-07-14 459.96 483.04 532.70 585.70 625.78 687.19 786.28 890.69 1078.35 2019-07-15 435.52 465.68 506.02 555.59 587.13 635.28 723.95 819.63 1008.12 2019-07-16 412.73 438.44 479.65 548.79 555.08 634.21 666.66 702.09 879.01 2019-07-17 394.68 447.19 454.99 515.75 521.52 577.87 637.76 716.81 855.24 2019-07-18 379.69 428.08 436.90 481.19 492.95 527.31 569.04 669.80 767.27 2019-07-19 360.53 397.53 406.70 431.32 462.28 474.33 546.35 597.45 831.67 2019-07-20 341.87 368.33 384.96 403.28 433.94 448.66 529.36 593.14 740.12 2019-07-21 325.24 343.68 367.44 409.59 418.78 482.27 522.38 558.30 663.71 2019-07-22 309.75 339.91 376.87 391.33 406.76 446.11 500.98 515.09 635.55 2019-07-23 300.25 331.01 363.24 371.52 386.06 454.52 484.79 558.39 674.09 2019-07-24 295.01 316.16 344.87 356.40 380.46 434.21 469.11 510.78 600.54 2019-07-25 281.69 302.36 333.88 341.12 386.33 395.65 445.06 482.78 559.70 2019-07-26 266.49 291.42 316.05 331.45 363.88 419.75 450.50 532.55 712.30 2019-07-27 254.98 277.45 290.26 320.05 365.44 412.69 483.11 678.18 755.85 2019-07-28 249.65 263.88 272.85 311.68 356.79 388.29 450.06 552.98 638.90 2019-07-29 239.77 250.75 264.03 320.00 345.76 412.93 455.65 506.11 644.60 2019-07-30 224.73 264.69 293.13 319.32 348.21 409.98 427.71 449.19 549.17 2019-07-31 215.48 245.82 281.34 302.08 322.96 384.11 430.78 543.77 688.86