Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2019-05-30 - 2019-07-31 Simulation date: 2019-05-30 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2019-05-30 2256.44 2256.44 2256.44 2256.44 2256.44 2256.44 2256.44 2256.44 2256.44 2019-05-31 2310.09 2310.09 2310.09 2310.09 2310.09 2310.09 2310.09 2310.09 2310.09 2019-06-01 2290.33 2290.33 2290.33 2290.33 2290.33 2290.33 2290.33 2290.33 2290.33 2019-06-02 2661.26 2661.26 2661.26 2661.26 2661.26 2661.26 2661.26 2661.26 2661.26 2019-06-03 3051.27 3051.27 3051.27 3051.27 3051.27 3051.27 3051.27 3051.27 3051.27 2019-06-04 3266.79 3266.79 3266.79 3266.79 3266.79 3266.79 3266.79 3266.79 3266.79 2019-06-05 3457.07 3457.07 3457.07 3457.07 3457.07 3457.07 3458.32 3472.23 3486.50 2019-06-06 3665.50 3665.50 3665.50 3665.50 3665.50 3672.54 3698.82 3742.03 3762.53 2019-06-07 3718.85 3718.85 3718.85 3718.85 3730.51 3740.63 3778.60 3809.92 3863.05 2019-06-08 3716.53 3716.53 3716.53 3716.53 3720.58 3740.51 3771.37 3790.46 3820.06 2019-06-09 3812.06 3812.06 3812.06 3812.09 3840.72 3859.67 3881.45 3910.22 4022.95 2019-06-10 3876.81 3886.48 3892.94 3910.73 3924.61 3944.72 3971.69 4027.85 4070.43 2019-06-11 3145.88 3345.12 3422.72 3502.51 3628.49 3692.31 3865.48 4406.23 4737.09 2019-06-12 2771.52 3119.11 3202.91 3243.86 3366.41 3564.90 3622.80 4197.06 4603.84 2019-06-13 2788.25 2962.62 3114.25 3219.45 3344.76 3588.79 3681.62 3854.75 4400.96 2019-06-14 2589.39 2934.22 3039.84 3181.59 3304.71 3399.11 3533.53 3720.24 3921.22 2019-06-15 2451.75 2755.31 2870.48 3098.64 3281.72 3332.50 3442.18 3546.42 3800.94 2019-06-16 2289.02 2704.16 2858.17 3022.63 3154.48 3335.02 3419.16 3520.86 3683.87 2019-06-17 2281.14 2520.75 2818.21 2983.78 3123.29 3202.60 3278.57 3388.64 3551.05 2019-06-18 2345.30 2512.83 2712.09 2812.02 3096.17 3137.46 3166.61 3263.63 3298.26 2019-06-19 2405.81 2551.26 2614.91 2820.56 2904.34 2975.03 3038.69 3118.45 3239.80 2019-06-20 2411.47 2482.59 2625.69 2702.27 2821.69 2908.23 3001.90 3074.59 3233.96 2019-06-21 2265.56 2404.84 2518.08 2657.41 2750.14 2831.55 2903.26 3003.24 3175.71 2019-06-22 2231.50 2334.53 2443.64 2568.93 2628.10 2697.92 2804.76 2927.45 2984.82 2019-06-23 2124.45 2288.41 2360.30 2401.40 2502.37 2563.15 2641.00 2777.03 2862.74 2019-06-24 1988.07 2139.98 2195.01 2319.30 2389.02 2405.48 2484.29 2606.79 2787.99 2019-06-25 1895.73 2013.67 2119.72 2227.89 2254.11 2293.15 2316.92 2468.02 2688.45 2019-06-26 1869.81 1974.55 2045.29 2095.25 2142.71 2161.72 2252.46 2387.91 2554.54 2019-06-27 1762.02 1861.95 1924.14 1989.25 2072.87 2115.51 2236.32 2297.19 2632.52 2019-06-28 1596.81 1645.89 1762.88 1811.35 1906.94 2013.84 2086.21 2153.22 2366.24 2019-06-29 1439.12 1560.20 1595.11 1685.08 1776.84 1821.48 1979.27 2133.19 2395.95 2019-06-30 1327.26 1418.12 1533.77 1578.10 1634.13 1777.76 1890.65 2017.35 2214.91 2019-07-01 1210.19 1268.04 1468.74 1493.75 1628.07 1678.35 1791.73 1899.59 2021.42 2019-07-02 1103.68 1168.76 1342.07 1387.05 1498.61 1579.85 1651.73 1743.14 1962.29 2019-07-03 1007.57 1110.25 1222.84 1314.95 1369.49 1407.90 1583.99 1632.28 1804.00 2019-07-04 923.75 998.42 1120.15 1195.96 1244.80 1279.50 1374.94 1460.86 1632.17 2019-07-05 859.16 944.18 1011.83 1101.19 1147.01 1204.48 1254.96 1317.46 1498.13 2019-07-06 807.12 839.68 910.71 972.79 1054.28 1096.37 1126.75 1232.20 1446.59 2019-07-07 742.09 793.35 844.43 909.69 969.87 1009.93 1032.12 1166.85 1356.46 2019-07-08 689.58 726.20 769.43 817.39 891.72 935.57 960.28 1056.48 1259.36 2019-07-09 644.65 684.53 725.82 778.96 829.80 853.20 875.29 965.16 1165.36 2019-07-10 603.89 647.64 669.77 705.54 748.99 784.31 903.94 1053.37 1159.43 2019-07-11 574.56 620.74 634.74 665.47 690.24 727.98 866.06 931.63 1139.05 2019-07-12 547.52 585.55 594.17 621.13 645.78 683.20 791.98 910.17 1116.35 2019-07-13 515.07 547.56 556.23 579.96 622.15 680.35 765.12 830.26 933.31 2019-07-14 489.31 511.96 520.35 540.78 578.15 664.38 701.64 762.12 919.41 2019-07-15 463.09 484.36 496.54 518.53 546.44 586.73 662.42 690.51 869.84 2019-07-16 435.98 458.67 469.64 495.11 515.59 593.07 627.61 650.73 781.32 2019-07-17 415.82 439.80 454.14 478.67 498.25 542.87 585.86 605.24 782.43 2019-07-18 394.65 416.99 434.06 457.04 470.21 503.63 550.98 558.52 696.33 2019-07-19 374.86 395.75 408.83 420.95 431.46 457.97 509.80 533.78 709.77 2019-07-20 356.36 376.23 380.83 391.03 409.22 431.89 484.49 516.08 613.79 2019-07-21 340.17 356.92 365.25 374.55 392.50 451.16 479.11 528.85 597.35 2019-07-22 337.05 342.22 351.49 370.43 389.93 432.08 449.61 486.35 545.20 2019-07-23 314.72 327.95 336.28 354.36 370.22 414.27 462.20 509.11 641.35 2019-07-24 305.79 313.37 324.56 337.29 359.07 402.04 449.97 482.95 548.75 2019-07-25 292.54 301.91 320.48 335.74 370.32 390.45 407.37 427.17 505.13 2019-07-26 279.50 291.32 310.86 319.16 352.03 389.79 413.13 527.50 671.48 2019-07-27 267.93 275.47 293.49 305.86 349.75 384.86 421.05 624.20 743.72 2019-07-28 254.27 263.82 282.63 305.96 351.11 361.45 428.05 518.08 611.14 2019-07-29 245.02 255.56 267.62 308.27 341.93 379.04 426.79 469.50 590.18 2019-07-30 235.23 255.33 297.31 318.63 325.35 372.42 408.72 440.50 502.04 2019-07-31 225.69 242.15 276.26 290.88 312.87 360.72 409.62 482.60 678.99