McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 08 2019

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2019-04-09,1310,Daily Model Output (20190408)
2019-04-10,1700
2019-04-11,1856
2019-04-12,1391
2019-04-13,1039
2019-04-14,877
2019-04-15,803
2019-04-16,892
2019-04-17,1074
2019-04-18,1120
2019-04-19,1142
2019-04-20,1149
2019-04-21,1151
2019-04-22,1180
2019-04-23,1256
2019-04-24,1487,ESP Model Output (20190408)
2019-04-25,1607
2019-04-26,1870
2019-04-27,2109
2019-04-28,2001
2019-04-29,2127
2019-04-30,2455
2019-05-01,2573
2019-05-02,2687
2019-05-03,2832
2019-05-04,2888
2019-05-05,2775
2019-05-06,3031
2019-05-07,3209
2019-05-08,3364
2019-05-09,3241
2019-05-10,3183
2019-05-11,3314
2019-05-12,3212
2019-05-13,3406
2019-05-14,3204
2019-05-15,3280
2019-05-16,3474
2019-05-17,3547
2019-05-18,3539
2019-05-19,3433
2019-05-20,3631
2019-05-21,3628
2019-05-22,3547
2019-05-23,3377
2019-05-24,3176
2019-05-25,3074
2019-05-26,3009
2019-05-27,2991
2019-05-28,2891
2019-05-29,2927
2019-05-30,2933
2019-05-31,2934
2019-06-01,2825
2019-06-02,2681
2019-06-03,2857
2019-06-04,2817
2019-06-05,2511
2019-06-06,2560
2019-06-07,2445
2019-06-08,2380
2019-06-09,2312
2019-06-10,2221
2019-06-11,2154
2019-06-12,2296
2019-06-13,2242
2019-06-14,2092
2019-06-15,1965
2019-06-16,1880
2019-06-17,1805
2019-06-18,1691
2019-06-19,1702
2019-06-20,1496
2019-06-21,1474
2019-06-22,1549
2019-06-23,1496
2019-06-24,1415
2019-06-25,1265
2019-06-26,1112
2019-06-27,1135
2019-06-28,1049
2019-06-29,933
2019-06-30,837
2019-07-01,760
2019-07-02,699
2019-07-03,648
2019-07-04,594
2019-07-05,552
2019-07-06,517
2019-07-07,486
2019-07-08,459
2019-07-09,434
2019-07-10,411
2019-07-11,420
2019-07-12,398
2019-07-13,406
2019-07-14,380
2019-07-15,333
2019-07-16,333
2019-07-17,309
2019-07-18,304
2019-07-19,281
2019-07-20,263
2019-07-21,265
2019-07-22,263
2019-07-23,257
2019-07-24,240
2019-07-25,255
2019-07-26,258
2019-07-27,258
2019-07-28,246
2019-07-29,262
2019-07-30,259
2019-07-31,250


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-15 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 15 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 16 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model. Some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs; diversions; etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.