Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-04-01 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-04-01 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-04-01 124.83 124.83 124.83 124.83 124.83 124.83 124.83 124.83 124.83 2023-04-02 104.90 104.90 104.90 104.90 104.90 104.90 104.90 104.90 104.90 2023-04-03 112.86 112.86 112.86 112.86 112.86 112.86 112.86 112.86 112.86 2023-04-04 177.56 177.56 177.56 177.56 177.56 177.56 177.56 177.56 177.56 2023-04-05 227.13 227.13 227.13 227.13 227.13 227.13 227.13 227.13 227.13 2023-04-06 134.23 134.23 134.23 134.23 134.23 134.23 134.23 134.23 134.23 2023-04-07 107.14 107.14 107.14 107.14 107.14 107.14 107.14 107.14 107.14 2023-04-08 107.05 107.05 107.05 107.05 107.05 107.05 107.06 107.06 107.06 2023-04-09 200.76 201.48 201.88 202.33 202.82 203.17 204.25 205.52 214.47 2023-04-10 349.10 360.79 366.63 371.20 387.59 403.32 411.59 426.40 499.77 2023-04-11 356.74 387.48 440.98 475.69 511.55 523.23 544.98 578.12 610.81 2023-04-12 384.44 424.23 477.61 570.19 592.67 626.09 683.50 719.07 779.39 2023-04-13 342.52 493.11 583.28 683.47 714.60 774.23 821.57 890.96 1014.25 2023-04-14 385.27 514.04 573.89 665.32 760.77 881.31 968.62 1088.70 1205.26 2023-04-15 279.95 452.87 551.54 636.73 786.75 967.97 1120.02 1313.19 1450.69 2023-04-16 274.39 470.99 571.26 703.94 1018.92 1148.93 1271.37 1433.94 1769.35 2023-04-17 446.83 636.21 852.64 1078.27 1199.99 1403.58 1757.56 1862.91 2151.91 2023-04-18 456.32 817.34 1108.05 1304.39 1470.81 1628.16 2102.24 2266.16 2527.12 2023-04-19 716.58 882.10 1091.86 1383.05 1641.54 2000.56 2331.41 2645.42 3181.64 2023-04-20 614.53 1013.77 1286.17 1562.03 1747.13 2058.74 2637.16 3034.49 3799.61 2023-04-21 708.90 1182.07 1406.81 1802.65 1980.63 2401.80 2893.10 3270.36 3668.54 2023-04-22 919.47 1434.90 1714.14 1905.30 2168.65 2342.54 2971.33 3385.48 3531.59 2023-04-23 1247.30 1659.99 1961.89 2184.35 2346.14 2695.34 3204.10 3535.20 4251.18 2023-04-24 1237.08 1747.11 2138.02 2402.75 2766.10 3123.75 3303.77 3661.67 4797.29 2023-04-25 1521.27 1983.29 2400.63 2655.77 2925.28 3145.38 3487.46 3717.60 4941.34 2023-04-26 1812.31 2374.85 2747.56 2872.48 3206.53 3326.53 3522.31 4013.87 4510.71 2023-04-27 2243.10 2488.51 2751.30 3018.43 3220.45 3282.99 3719.91 3941.52 4434.17 2023-04-28 2259.36 2437.58 2723.90 3131.88 3281.20 3348.00 3607.76 4135.79 4599.19 2023-04-29 2343.43 2403.54 2820.31 3156.56 3383.86 3540.91 3676.27 4635.15 5096.87 2023-04-30 2308.15 2718.98 2879.96 3197.40 3552.81 3651.11 3957.59 4894.47 5174.58 2023-05-01 2148.38 2565.95 3047.56 3423.66 3593.40 3829.23 4148.11 4928.65 5462.09 2023-05-02 2083.60 2422.21 2924.49 3415.57 3698.06 4172.90 4410.23 4715.25 5868.75 2023-05-03 2232.62 2477.56 2949.52 3427.97 3753.61 4013.53 4483.64 4841.06 6077.99 2023-05-04 2278.89 2721.50 2971.33 3329.29 3683.05 4178.61 4400.34 5193.99 5869.67 2023-05-05 2423.40 2953.04 3270.47 3468.85 3652.76 4260.51 4595.20 5254.96 5654.08 2023-05-06 2931.42 3132.57 3461.11 3707.48 3975.52 4302.93 4522.64 5232.62 5616.75 2023-05-07 2985.25 3427.63 3724.10 3887.36 4170.92 4277.67 4796.61 5156.31 5706.63 2023-05-08 2990.00 3220.94 3777.04 3939.02 4104.82 4434.13 4856.43 5158.87 5588.68 2023-05-09 2827.43 3406.79 3685.85 3966.27 4075.42 4207.62 4664.72 5048.77 5627.43 2023-05-10 3112.97 3366.84 3483.29 3778.23 3947.40 4308.41 4625.66 5183.97 5701.67 2023-05-11 2974.43 3187.52 3628.00 3956.46 4070.65 4275.52 4601.79 4839.02 5817.84 2023-05-12 2836.07 3364.58 3573.39 3892.40 3994.43 4341.96 4717.30 5103.18 5522.08 2023-05-13 2930.63 3236.37 3518.66 3746.21 3947.38 4274.41 4420.82 4759.42 5670.61 2023-05-14 3022.35 3218.07 3395.68 3693.00 3964.43 4139.70 4280.53 4776.32 6034.99 2023-05-15 2730.08 3289.47 3510.01 3627.24 3889.98 4250.69 4525.54 4922.54 6031.63 2023-05-16 2579.45 3194.55 3596.28 3740.21 4032.54 4349.75 4686.10 4970.99 5515.21 2023-05-17 2675.37 3203.63 3545.72 3936.84 4171.16 4492.01 4730.43 5093.01 5493.29 2023-05-18 3061.52 3205.08 3707.10 4043.64 4161.16 4555.72 4712.41 5093.59 5748.35 2023-05-19 3112.79 3369.42 3734.47 4032.49 4247.17 4398.42 4591.61 4971.38 5660.55 2023-05-20 2649.94 3194.46 3898.39 4174.16 4247.51 4379.86 4613.76 4933.95 5578.18 2023-05-21 2656.91 3205.48 3807.65 4073.27 4406.15 4555.16 4678.47 4845.95 5594.95 2023-05-22 2613.93 3210.44 3608.36 4039.93 4237.84 4483.39 4694.20 5034.98 5334.17 2023-05-23 2613.93 3269.24 3622.33 3937.95 4071.53 4439.73 4583.95 4837.27 5100.80 2023-05-24 3073.22 3323.77 3727.47 3824.67 3958.50 4195.17 4401.01 4628.87 5224.13 2023-05-25 3008.43 3311.71 3583.20 3727.64 4096.16 4152.90 4228.03 4385.15 5474.64 2023-05-26 2958.53 3258.35 3496.04 3697.39 3895.01 3966.62 4201.39 4464.39 5245.82 2023-05-27 2844.21 3100.97 3433.55 3606.05 3950.20 4087.45 4253.94 4532.99 4720.82 2023-05-28 2811.07 3117.27 3487.18 3721.50 3868.09 3926.12 4368.13 4557.74 5115.96 2023-05-29 2870.75 3103.45 3335.07 3706.44 3907.32 4130.46 4409.27 4637.09 5167.11 2023-05-30 2515.24 3228.57 3407.82 3589.54 3985.24 4245.93 4539.93 4781.72 5719.82 2023-05-31 2534.30 3047.73 3313.63 3681.66 3984.65 4339.36 4493.63 4809.38 5625.58 2023-06-01 2561.48 2705.37 3331.66 3642.96 3815.28 4121.20 4515.49 4887.52 5810.57 2023-06-02 2612.34 2928.28 3139.60 3482.88 3796.33 4009.75 4322.54 5014.46 5939.51 2023-06-03 2533.48 2899.51 3245.04 3509.17 3678.95 4009.92 4492.31 5115.17 5348.85 2023-06-04 2625.07 2965.60 3289.35 3572.73 3747.65 4132.30 4454.48 4777.18 5408.65 2023-06-05 2502.18 2997.98 3230.29 3546.93 3711.03 4159.79 4470.29 4727.86 5247.31 2023-06-06 2573.83 2754.95 3039.80 3537.69 3651.12 4113.99 4452.55 4645.13 5506.88 2023-06-07 2449.99 2588.03 3095.04 3368.91 3531.35 3999.05 4450.15 4881.33 5260.37 2023-06-08 2207.60 2634.92 2916.34 3077.65 3766.25 4139.02 4330.92 4719.04 5690.28 2023-06-09 2039.24 2598.92 2755.33 3013.79 3651.18 3796.11 4164.02 4922.26 5332.63 2023-06-10 1953.29 2232.79 2577.94 2851.41 3280.95 3737.55 4049.78 4726.07 5273.89 2023-06-11 1846.50 2083.27 2451.75 2635.16 3093.89 3514.96 3975.59 4631.13 5179.26 2023-06-12 1677.58 2035.52 2254.26 2573.40 3104.49 3293.59 3639.67 4292.58 5098.78 2023-06-13 1682.51 1865.01 2102.04 2451.34 2983.86 3209.73 3553.86 4123.71 4596.33 2023-06-14 1588.03 1744.10 2006.69 2363.37 2812.20 3044.76 3593.08 4114.61 4454.68 2023-06-15 1483.09 1688.15 1916.76 2249.59 2568.40 3164.71 3401.16 3859.71 4567.36 2023-06-16 1371.29 1621.48 1910.93 2162.54 2476.17 2993.47 3354.56 3849.55 4756.48 2023-06-17 1267.12 1548.17 1738.68 2006.36 2410.52 2884.56 3403.05 3791.61 4482.32 2023-06-18 1167.48 1484.52 1639.03 1925.61 2153.07 2690.55 3102.97 3997.42 4436.03 2023-06-19 1080.79 1432.33 1624.25 1808.05 2097.67 2476.94 3009.38 3600.52 4188.17 2023-06-20 1043.36 1371.85 1610.97 1742.82 2015.61 2388.31 3000.47 3427.93 4362.67 2023-06-21 995.66 1285.68 1575.04 1734.67 1962.11 2448.30 2872.84 3171.85 4212.40 2023-06-22 900.98 1227.00 1445.01 1672.90 2034.77 2324.54 2552.22 3007.25 4365.29 2023-06-23 829.95 1215.78 1303.63 1620.56 2057.83 2215.33 2426.73 2790.21 4187.16 2023-06-24 753.37 1076.04 1210.97 1562.17 1905.13 2027.92 2195.22 2685.09 4045.38 2023-06-25 696.42 969.45 1173.00 1476.07 1750.03 1918.86 2055.43 2454.30 3643.42 2023-06-26 651.21 921.65 1124.40 1408.86 1621.68 1825.96 1992.45 2345.84 3370.13 2023-06-27 608.10 851.73 1018.91 1376.09 1590.61 1726.89 2164.79 2598.74 3342.55 2023-06-28 557.51 770.89 935.70 1297.31 1402.47 1628.18 2089.03 2221.44 2610.15 2023-06-29 519.26 732.12 908.57 1175.08 1245.14 1509.06 1873.41 2248.31 3264.98 2023-06-30 490.33 668.00 845.69 1088.94 1176.40 1390.09 1724.29 2145.70 2526.51 2023-07-01 472.45 650.12 771.86 1002.83 1087.66 1287.41 1599.52 1975.63 2240.78 2023-07-02 443.96 625.50 770.20 915.97 1000.24 1221.91 1474.04 1863.97 2448.01 2023-07-03 430.12 596.03 678.88 872.18 981.04 1175.40 1350.12 1684.21 1893.97 2023-07-04 409.48 556.74 623.29 801.93 893.91 1107.82 1287.65 1579.11 1781.38 2023-07-05 386.48 519.34 589.62 709.48 846.80 1029.00 1191.60 1459.96 1689.25 2023-07-06 367.21 486.42 545.83 641.09 786.01 919.31 1074.95 1376.12 1581.43 2023-07-07 377.94 456.66 513.70 589.44 722.29 842.56 1054.95 1356.81 1533.27 2023-07-08 340.58 437.80 470.24 545.97 661.92 785.47 935.44 1184.96 1609.01 2023-07-09 354.86 415.63 474.96 508.89 634.94 738.06 881.94 1111.44 1544.95 2023-07-10 340.15 390.94 444.89 498.11 581.75 674.38 869.92 1083.21 1378.94 2023-07-11 344.70 372.89 416.71 472.98 575.76 625.34 870.58 1041.51 1378.68 2023-07-12 361.91 390.76 429.50 500.05 589.62 651.56 882.52 986.26 1206.81 2023-07-13 342.16 391.59 427.45 505.27 553.64 670.82 804.13 898.92 1054.12 2023-07-14 330.54 380.46 421.14 465.15 515.22 587.68 761.40 877.33 1133.05 2023-07-15 347.71 379.06 398.52 422.57 482.15 540.39 685.89 791.59 1104.00 2023-07-16 334.88 366.76 380.72 422.39 457.65 496.76 624.25 798.36 1029.28 2023-07-17 324.71 341.20 362.66 396.85 448.17 518.00 594.70 739.54 935.45 2023-07-18 305.78 340.80 356.34 392.85 433.33 490.99 553.82 646.01 914.28 2023-07-19 287.86 317.27 339.06 377.08 414.85 430.02 512.32 588.73 925.56 2023-07-20 278.28 307.57 333.91 356.72 385.06 411.27 495.12 552.79 890.51 2023-07-21 282.50 298.23 323.68 357.16 387.27 446.38 470.28 526.14 756.19 2023-07-22 273.76 283.08 314.85 339.39 386.13 430.49 447.43 529.10 785.04 2023-07-23 262.90 283.41 310.80 358.39 376.18 415.24 459.23 506.56 807.27 2023-07-24 254.40 285.26 301.00 325.97 364.66 399.20 438.73 485.17 638.44 2023-07-25 252.00 283.45 299.97 320.50 347.87 398.46 423.98 465.32 809.36 2023-07-26 254.86 274.31 291.06 323.72 367.25 403.67 427.82 517.27 875.67 2023-07-27 248.92 265.91 282.91 329.24 379.42 428.38 458.76 534.34 705.19 2023-07-28 240.08 264.75 276.92 329.50 376.81 389.96 429.59 494.66 781.50 2023-07-29 236.79 254.89 269.38 319.63 361.62 388.08 413.05 459.52 684.86 2023-07-30 232.25 257.19 287.74 341.02 367.36 379.67 411.14 528.39 664.16 2023-07-31 224.49 239.45 276.30 334.41 344.69 366.00 382.58 485.14 643.28