Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-04-20 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-04-20 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-04-20 4940.60 4940.60 4940.60 4940.60 4940.60 4940.60 4940.60 4940.60 4940.60 2023-04-21 4160.02 4160.02 4160.02 4160.02 4160.02 4160.02 4160.02 4160.02 4160.02 2023-04-22 3094.21 3094.21 3094.21 3094.21 3094.21 3094.21 3094.21 3094.21 3094.21 2023-04-23 2551.86 2551.86 2551.86 2551.86 2551.86 2551.86 2551.86 2551.86 2551.86 2023-04-24 2502.86 2502.86 2502.86 2502.86 2502.86 2502.86 2502.86 2502.86 2502.86 2023-04-25 2778.78 2778.78 2778.78 2778.78 2778.78 2778.78 2778.78 2778.78 2778.78 2023-04-26 3133.38 3133.38 3133.38 3133.38 3133.38 3133.38 3133.38 3133.38 3133.38 2023-04-27 3272.27 3272.27 3272.27 3272.27 3272.27 3272.27 3272.28 3272.28 3272.28 2023-04-28 3013.75 3015.10 3017.23 3018.16 3038.03 3049.92 3060.01 3081.36 3118.10 2023-04-29 3022.92 3066.80 3084.61 3096.32 3160.63 3205.19 3258.56 3295.39 3566.63 2023-04-30 3191.99 3247.70 3322.19 3370.04 3410.80 3448.35 3501.69 3589.52 3701.20 2023-05-01 3011.55 3342.26 3454.15 3527.68 3652.31 3775.27 3839.51 3911.18 4002.93 2023-05-02 2775.97 3222.49 3346.32 3531.42 3763.95 3892.48 4074.19 4251.06 4576.31 2023-05-03 2717.70 3036.57 3208.75 3405.94 3626.93 3768.02 4089.62 4385.56 4874.55 2023-05-04 2537.19 2957.30 2991.00 3207.51 3617.76 3952.68 4222.74 4395.81 5055.38 2023-05-05 2492.98 2898.12 3152.63 3304.18 3435.39 3847.57 4230.38 4497.61 4972.48 2023-05-06 2914.07 3000.66 3163.27 3311.78 3586.39 3917.04 4289.51 4586.08 4793.70 2023-05-07 2804.37 3158.63 3280.12 3431.85 3768.68 3917.33 4306.71 4513.80 4907.59 2023-05-08 2730.01 3015.55 3269.43 3467.85 3730.93 3947.90 4305.22 4473.20 4992.05 2023-05-09 2605.33 2992.86 3225.83 3459.67 3638.38 3751.95 4228.82 4328.02 4921.24 2023-05-10 2773.98 2944.40 3146.67 3203.14 3401.32 3696.00 4160.83 4467.08 4838.65 2023-05-11 2763.82 2857.36 3109.99 3234.71 3326.01 3597.42 4176.43 4391.52 4884.43 2023-05-12 2620.69 2727.89 2971.17 3132.74 3504.47 3695.90 3976.03 4402.96 4800.85 2023-05-13 2450.69 2714.36 2957.98 3159.92 3299.45 3712.74 3953.80 4315.74 4718.68 2023-05-14 2459.94 2646.23 2955.26 3100.84 3293.91 3557.49 3808.92 4202.62 4811.61 2023-05-15 2316.06 2692.69 2873.69 3181.71 3334.22 3683.65 3931.41 4274.43 5032.91 2023-05-16 2334.00 2621.79 2901.85 3076.77 3551.92 3818.98 4190.36 4489.00 5045.12 2023-05-17 2336.30 2614.34 3041.79 3428.30 3830.21 4075.43 4313.53 4468.82 5057.89 2023-05-18 2510.50 2673.03 3194.83 3539.45 3890.57 4033.88 4445.80 4560.24 5086.94 2023-05-19 2605.79 2850.23 3050.02 3422.29 3819.73 4165.47 4374.47 4613.64 5006.26 2023-05-20 2595.48 2816.76 3065.49 3447.54 3880.55 4231.61 4353.49 4528.89 4816.08 2023-05-21 2546.50 2867.73 3136.45 3640.09 3855.89 4159.20 4378.85 4488.02 4713.41 2023-05-22 2550.78 3074.17 3269.29 3700.47 3772.36 4008.31 4311.79 4406.76 4998.28 2023-05-23 2663.31 3110.03 3437.61 3640.60 3853.07 3972.30 4187.82 4339.14 4582.98 2023-05-24 2597.81 3230.69 3387.70 3575.12 3675.95 3824.25 3984.45 4168.76 4562.37 2023-05-25 2727.32 2994.72 3180.96 3444.32 3637.76 3875.44 3918.27 4227.32 5225.39 2023-05-26 2635.33 2910.85 3140.58 3320.85 3579.28 3717.82 3881.12 4223.89 5147.17 2023-05-27 2627.94 2989.72 3157.90 3281.90 3613.99 3727.25 3954.24 4181.16 4716.60 2023-05-28 2713.87 3092.36 3209.63 3386.44 3508.64 3662.65 3957.45 4088.71 4722.54 2023-05-29 2622.16 2938.88 3253.06 3498.75 3711.72 3810.06 3888.92 4226.47 4809.47 2023-05-30 2476.09 2996.96 3294.97 3568.87 3698.18 3743.34 4161.50 4420.74 4709.83 2023-05-31 2390.23 2862.88 3248.42 3425.56 3720.99 3973.45 4092.49 4263.82 5105.14 2023-06-01 2318.44 2773.15 3061.66 3416.04 3597.38 3752.27 4050.71 4328.71 5030.12 2023-06-02 2423.51 2845.82 3051.40 3307.03 3506.96 3606.53 3930.40 4390.90 5168.33 2023-06-03 2509.81 2883.46 3046.65 3405.02 3608.38 3734.21 4050.27 4325.53 4972.30 2023-06-04 2495.13 2969.47 3029.13 3425.71 3615.26 3814.85 3986.16 4389.62 4900.67 2023-06-05 2558.74 2908.11 3136.91 3226.82 3506.81 3760.07 3958.57 4173.55 4814.78 2023-06-06 2625.92 2734.27 2933.74 3110.53 3365.83 3584.66 3887.44 4434.18 5082.95 2023-06-07 2550.17 2630.78 2766.25 2927.96 3106.80 3726.41 4054.37 4460.30 4940.04 2023-06-08 2314.94 2489.84 2651.19 2758.90 3100.41 3578.69 4117.97 4649.97 4918.50 2023-06-09 2208.15 2421.21 2542.01 2778.53 3120.47 3201.62 3953.65 4467.23 5128.05 2023-06-10 2005.99 2196.60 2359.99 2635.86 2853.22 3231.05 3715.35 4366.88 4949.69 2023-06-11 1869.01 2011.84 2234.36 2500.24 2691.48 3085.90 3725.01 4359.56 4821.73 2023-06-12 1783.83 1949.41 2097.14 2374.41 2691.43 2873.57 3382.12 3730.32 4541.86 2023-06-13 1656.58 1797.20 2027.95 2281.03 2700.15 2944.31 3155.74 3511.63 4122.36 2023-06-14 1579.09 1679.58 1952.03 2248.14 2500.88 2838.87 3197.82 3468.94 3908.21 2023-06-15 1519.19 1629.75 1826.79 2101.58 2359.32 2729.70 2980.02 3346.76 3934.28 2023-06-16 1444.30 1690.07 1760.92 2137.72 2344.02 2561.87 2772.76 3317.64 4016.32 2023-06-17 1359.62 1552.83 1718.48 1948.49 2281.83 2517.39 2779.82 3324.17 3688.51 2023-06-18 1268.87 1391.45 1689.59 1871.61 2194.52 2467.05 2707.04 3079.91 3748.48 2023-06-19 1188.53 1339.57 1588.14 1880.73 1989.62 2342.33 2568.94 3004.82 3590.54 2023-06-20 1115.56 1288.47 1483.98 1862.60 2001.11 2303.33 2506.05 3022.09 3588.22 2023-06-21 1047.38 1236.51 1496.73 1835.14 2001.36 2188.61 2378.46 2741.51 3535.34 2023-06-22 969.51 1166.68 1374.73 1813.46 1872.46 2025.16 2305.35 2554.01 3734.90 2023-06-23 902.60 1086.78 1269.73 1725.72 1855.36 2038.20 2162.96 2376.22 3389.15 2023-06-24 836.57 1010.30 1170.28 1608.35 1777.20 1909.45 1996.95 2260.95 3244.87 2023-06-25 775.38 908.73 1136.98 1525.21 1671.96 1758.01 1930.98 2129.47 2907.85 2023-06-26 715.33 860.55 1139.51 1444.86 1577.32 1675.87 1807.08 2070.57 2760.45 2023-06-27 670.01 788.91 1125.88 1410.31 1504.74 1598.05 1863.05 2276.16 2741.17 2023-06-28 614.12 715.13 1031.67 1262.44 1410.70 1540.08 1777.22 1894.75 2558.22 2023-06-29 563.54 674.26 958.05 1141.64 1289.99 1401.50 1643.27 1856.13 2719.27 2023-06-30 528.04 619.96 872.55 1042.41 1128.81 1323.16 1535.55 1869.71 2194.97 2023-07-01 509.04 606.39 838.43 966.14 1034.50 1276.01 1455.74 1651.88 2053.16 2023-07-02 473.24 576.29 761.82 882.24 1011.04 1168.74 1312.25 1632.20 1948.73 2023-07-03 474.82 539.41 695.15 811.48 960.53 1088.96 1221.00 1469.61 1831.58 2023-07-04 449.45 501.95 663.86 767.72 902.10 1028.39 1161.16 1323.43 1766.52 2023-07-05 424.63 475.33 613.18 710.26 823.62 931.37 1097.79 1223.47 1660.76 2023-07-06 395.78 436.31 565.23 655.27 761.63 831.06 986.03 1130.50 1551.12 2023-07-07 387.13 417.06 518.91 604.24 709.62 761.33 950.17 1144.98 1494.85 2023-07-08 359.48 393.04 487.01 554.38 648.83 709.35 863.38 1000.70 1454.05 2023-07-09 353.06 387.28 468.12 517.67 591.17 666.34 806.08 928.25 1339.42 2023-07-10 338.43 367.68 445.13 492.76 554.15 652.73 798.44 1098.75 1244.25 2023-07-11 325.16 364.82 417.02 450.61 533.70 607.55 763.52 1005.54 1129.76 2023-07-12 347.84 371.17 430.73 510.98 547.17 663.85 782.95 908.50 1082.25 2023-07-13 341.47 365.24 420.77 491.70 512.99 671.54 734.62 877.86 1025.44 2023-07-14 328.38 352.31 409.64 469.20 487.31 549.80 672.10 921.24 968.27 2023-07-15 319.41 367.10 394.70 442.07 455.25 496.11 620.32 812.84 894.17 2023-07-16 311.24 359.57 382.62 418.42 430.48 460.04 570.50 715.13 831.72 2023-07-17 304.11 344.90 366.43 394.32 408.52 456.47 583.20 720.98 810.17 2023-07-18 295.94 339.93 354.38 377.29 400.37 436.34 518.54 679.98 781.42 2023-07-19 289.16 315.21 341.89 361.30 387.29 411.11 472.21 631.55 839.80 2023-07-20 281.70 304.94 331.10 350.68 363.78 380.95 444.00 568.95 778.20 2023-07-21 271.80 300.96 315.88 346.36 367.53 397.38 442.77 532.95 690.12 2023-07-22 264.01 287.01 309.00 340.27 358.99 387.61 425.80 515.58 706.47 2023-07-23 256.66 280.04 306.65 340.24 360.51 390.36 436.30 513.42 726.38 2023-07-24 252.64 272.97 297.43 327.94 342.10 382.21 408.90 491.64 589.06 2023-07-25 246.79 274.39 296.37 319.10 327.77 363.66 427.38 480.30 671.92 2023-07-26 245.69 267.47 284.80 310.73 339.42 376.64 422.65 483.60 738.32 2023-07-27 239.47 258.45 280.97 316.10 364.92 411.78 431.37 545.27 705.13 2023-07-28 234.37 254.88 281.22 307.46 349.06 376.91 421.63 497.90 590.69 2023-07-29 230.72 249.48 270.81 302.21 358.05 374.01 402.40 440.89 577.93 2023-07-30 223.60 246.75 280.01 329.22 355.50 367.33 403.28 507.41 555.88 2023-07-31 217.53 238.76 272.54 316.12 335.38 358.41 385.13 456.79 515.05