Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-04-24 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-04-24 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-04-24 2871.09 2871.09 2871.09 2871.09 2871.09 2871.09 2871.09 2871.09 2871.09 2023-04-25 3450.36 3450.36 3450.36 3450.36 3450.36 3450.36 3450.36 3450.36 3450.36 2023-04-26 4023.01 4023.01 4023.01 4023.01 4023.01 4023.01 4023.01 4023.01 4023.01 2023-04-27 3592.32 3592.32 3592.32 3592.32 3592.32 3592.32 3592.32 3592.32 3592.32 2023-04-28 3476.15 3476.15 3476.15 3476.15 3476.15 3476.15 3476.15 3476.15 3476.15 2023-04-29 3705.34 3705.34 3705.34 3705.34 3705.34 3705.34 3705.34 3705.34 3705.34 2023-04-30 3773.82 3773.82 3773.82 3773.82 3773.82 3773.82 3773.82 3773.82 3773.82 2023-05-01 3787.21 3787.21 3787.21 3787.22 3787.22 3787.23 3787.23 3787.23 3787.24 2023-05-02 3885.69 3886.56 3887.71 3888.77 3889.77 3905.80 3925.79 3945.99 4134.89 2023-05-03 4022.04 4074.92 4107.94 4119.29 4134.32 4172.98 4288.75 4456.43 4990.60 2023-05-04 3950.91 4060.51 4218.50 4257.44 4300.35 4334.31 4413.76 4795.92 5028.80 2023-05-05 3596.62 3816.87 3911.65 3997.97 4152.93 4222.81 4382.04 4505.98 5006.51 2023-05-06 3407.09 3600.87 3679.96 3895.53 4003.68 4159.36 4289.97 4370.59 4477.86 2023-05-07 3280.03 3415.58 3565.46 3705.87 3840.14 4053.96 4137.28 4300.23 4470.38 2023-05-08 2899.35 3179.60 3295.39 3571.35 3717.84 3859.53 3958.39 4185.81 4537.86 2023-05-09 2609.76 3066.29 3253.06 3372.09 3504.83 3614.55 3875.08 4155.48 4531.50 2023-05-10 2675.86 2912.85 3001.20 3151.35 3267.59 3639.47 3815.66 4312.01 4538.73 2023-05-11 2665.87 2826.15 2898.59 3115.01 3219.68 3438.15 3766.63 4155.72 4650.51 2023-05-12 2575.66 2762.67 2854.03 2994.27 3251.18 3495.18 3779.53 4103.87 4576.19 2023-05-13 2500.18 2708.59 2822.29 2904.77 3036.50 3602.76 3781.68 4085.89 4344.67 2023-05-14 2498.83 2525.05 2837.05 2917.21 3137.88 3388.25 3630.81 4138.28 4679.53 2023-05-15 2270.76 2536.16 2787.72 3021.73 3238.36 3494.18 3874.41 4227.09 4939.65 2023-05-16 2290.04 2538.39 2794.11 2992.11 3452.01 3703.44 4095.43 4355.62 4930.83 2023-05-17 2212.37 2534.18 3007.68 3313.41 3661.94 3992.65 4205.81 4367.46 4950.41 2023-05-18 2456.51 2606.50 3051.95 3422.30 3661.34 3957.49 4359.70 4496.86 4918.51 2023-05-19 2470.36 2779.57 2966.16 3241.65 3668.64 4010.16 4296.99 4503.88 4767.03 2023-05-20 2509.90 2692.24 2949.03 3309.83 3740.50 4051.19 4227.40 4384.74 4647.39 2023-05-21 2494.89 2775.59 2984.65 3573.93 3680.90 3985.44 4142.88 4343.07 4441.02 2023-05-22 2468.71 2927.13 3167.67 3429.27 3653.01 3955.03 4095.46 4277.58 4714.14 2023-05-23 2549.15 3030.60 3167.83 3513.41 3705.95 3859.88 3983.10 4141.41 4483.96 2023-05-24 2469.04 3117.13 3215.63 3367.16 3542.82 3682.41 3831.03 4053.01 4394.16 2023-05-25 2601.07 2850.26 3181.96 3286.68 3428.31 3611.11 3721.95 4027.72 4492.53 2023-05-26 2606.42 2794.41 3051.40 3132.62 3359.38 3440.04 3671.85 4059.25 5026.15 2023-05-27 2535.25 2845.29 2961.84 3141.99 3344.26 3490.40 3650.61 4042.39 4664.27 2023-05-28 2637.58 2822.69 3053.83 3189.73 3262.32 3528.01 3650.85 3930.36 4641.58 2023-05-29 2536.40 2769.50 3048.96 3298.89 3460.75 3640.40 3686.84 4010.64 4423.93 2023-05-30 2314.97 2810.80 3083.15 3221.89 3551.65 3693.66 3888.97 4061.28 4468.90 2023-05-31 2321.44 2700.08 2988.18 3239.40 3553.07 3673.13 3828.90 4078.73 4521.69 2023-06-01 2161.55 2586.14 2932.70 3122.15 3398.41 3530.59 3747.66 4039.78 4603.12 2023-06-02 2311.73 2718.15 2862.61 3109.54 3262.11 3449.58 3708.16 4063.88 4670.99 2023-06-03 2238.13 2642.02 2859.47 3239.36 3472.26 3531.59 3622.96 4107.65 4528.95 2023-06-04 2229.05 2751.52 2901.41 3238.28 3418.80 3607.35 3808.98 3914.92 4666.15 2023-06-05 2369.74 2695.81 2961.96 3033.59 3210.36 3520.69 3769.81 3857.97 4479.28 2023-06-06 2319.56 2564.29 2824.52 2945.47 3057.74 3361.71 3691.51 3997.58 4677.88 2023-06-07 2302.89 2384.36 2588.14 2789.03 2971.54 3523.28 3740.34 4123.44 4548.70 2023-06-08 2149.27 2347.98 2433.94 2614.14 2961.57 3229.07 3791.74 4231.50 4607.74 2023-06-09 2078.19 2215.70 2416.84 2609.47 2761.78 2843.79 3566.70 4195.63 4680.64 2023-06-10 1877.81 2102.71 2184.65 2438.63 2575.42 2789.61 3491.81 3993.25 4251.66 2023-06-11 1753.26 1957.32 2018.42 2275.67 2530.66 2666.09 3322.63 3784.83 4348.69 2023-06-12 1712.38 1794.12 1926.25 2250.52 2435.10 2664.14 3050.43 3214.50 4052.56 2023-06-13 1565.83 1742.40 1912.73 2096.68 2430.22 2616.36 2722.28 3194.49 3461.63 2023-06-14 1527.67 1634.51 1830.09 2015.45 2233.66 2567.52 2797.89 3031.67 3497.23 2023-06-15 1498.07 1564.64 1716.81 1945.53 2158.95 2395.61 2681.50 3066.91 3745.59 2023-06-16 1419.56 1539.86 1660.10 1894.28 2107.01 2309.36 2412.66 2887.42 3910.56 2023-06-17 1355.80 1481.19 1585.81 1833.14 1956.64 2129.94 2616.50 2942.13 3584.95 2023-06-18 1283.77 1346.48 1544.86 1767.99 1885.41 2078.02 2452.49 2897.91 3493.36 2023-06-19 1162.15 1291.96 1498.23 1697.39 1872.60 1981.21 2292.63 2712.85 3221.97 2023-06-20 1096.12 1221.00 1420.97 1609.16 1850.75 2041.64 2151.07 2774.18 3172.16 2023-06-21 1022.93 1190.72 1381.17 1576.30 1838.08 1988.77 2219.43 2506.20 3254.19 2023-06-22 946.74 1081.71 1263.72 1585.98 1740.84 1823.18 2080.29 2481.92 3160.78 2023-06-23 894.62 1041.46 1165.17 1538.09 1712.51 1806.38 1950.88 2314.82 2754.05 2023-06-24 825.66 980.47 1111.56 1395.16 1662.24 1724.48 1837.45 2202.90 2744.36 2023-06-25 771.06 862.15 1088.91 1294.64 1535.50 1652.89 1790.90 1948.86 2455.17 2023-06-26 735.35 810.16 1048.16 1213.46 1479.83 1569.36 1759.82 1883.53 2295.77 2023-06-27 674.34 738.51 997.52 1181.53 1447.09 1518.98 1723.41 1976.68 2296.36 2023-06-28 617.42 659.71 910.11 1083.03 1334.08 1460.31 1619.11 1852.89 2224.78 2023-06-29 564.54 644.69 845.01 973.77 1226.13 1337.03 1505.74 1754.66 2098.72 2023-06-30 527.38 596.09 770.55 882.62 1091.66 1231.22 1444.21 1771.86 1918.86 2023-07-01 500.41 590.88 718.79 831.47 982.67 1119.59 1379.35 1622.82 1780.92 2023-07-02 472.37 527.36 662.02 786.90 919.56 1032.59 1256.21 1550.38 1744.68 2023-07-03 447.59 520.69 613.33 736.77 865.87 963.33 1184.01 1422.60 1652.09 2023-07-04 425.15 481.15 577.43 686.25 807.63 937.71 1075.60 1274.17 1598.51 2023-07-05 404.56 452.13 531.07 638.19 759.30 861.88 993.29 1175.06 1491.24 2023-07-06 384.57 421.00 492.27 604.34 678.70 785.45 902.12 1088.29 1357.96 2023-07-07 370.96 406.44 457.79 562.61 607.49 714.67 865.26 1111.23 1265.27 2023-07-08 351.02 381.89 442.39 517.83 559.64 653.26 776.24 1031.65 1192.22 2023-07-09 334.79 373.56 426.58 480.31 537.56 610.86 726.95 949.21 1175.16 2023-07-10 321.88 356.28 404.58 444.02 529.98 591.81 706.50 959.05 1132.53 2023-07-11 309.84 351.04 380.39 432.75 479.92 566.82 775.49 859.93 1006.91 2023-07-12 333.12 363.16 392.25 458.64 507.61 604.33 785.88 869.42 943.49 2023-07-13 327.48 356.88 390.64 436.55 485.72 603.27 681.63 863.15 887.54 2023-07-14 316.04 344.48 384.96 426.48 457.04 514.21 628.47 770.45 966.36 2023-07-15 307.03 351.58 378.52 403.86 431.34 461.64 584.69 711.46 848.29 2023-07-16 298.96 339.94 370.23 390.98 406.97 435.24 547.52 678.01 714.68 2023-07-17 292.81 330.14 348.29 362.56 386.87 409.43 544.96 622.93 792.75 2023-07-18 286.85 321.05 335.27 347.41 376.45 420.86 498.85 576.48 715.29 2023-07-19 281.03 310.00 319.15 334.81 361.10 387.30 442.27 563.92 768.29 2023-07-20 274.34 295.52 309.31 329.20 348.14 361.84 414.93 553.51 705.15 2023-07-21 266.00 293.47 299.52 320.40 346.02 381.02 401.76 516.50 646.00 2023-07-22 256.47 280.00 292.82 310.58 340.14 375.30 403.10 504.99 672.25 2023-07-23 249.77 272.85 288.25 315.75 346.27 375.43 435.04 504.21 660.45 2023-07-24 246.91 266.42 280.92 307.32 328.61 351.29 415.47 482.39 543.02 2023-07-25 244.23 265.62 277.92 301.80 320.87 339.40 406.44 471.46 592.16 2023-07-26 241.03 263.32 280.50 299.27 317.89 354.54 400.97 456.97 646.95 2023-07-27 235.12 252.12 265.48 300.52 349.19 390.33 409.77 512.35 622.32 2023-07-28 230.74 248.54 274.17 299.99 327.07 356.37 415.87 476.82 572.85 2023-07-29 225.45 243.18 258.83 287.26 337.03 358.47 388.50 419.74 516.28 2023-07-30 219.48 239.88 266.68 303.68 343.64 352.92 386.27 468.62 534.02 2023-07-31 215.06 230.95 260.99 296.59 327.50 342.33 369.05 413.47 486.07